Wonk's delight: election data

Here are some polling analysis on the election that I've come across recently.

This was a particularly interesting one for me: What role did race play with white Democrats? Salon 06/03/08. Mark Schone interviews Tom Schaller, Ruy Teixeira and Sean Wilentz and the role of race in the Democratic primaties. A really good discussion with people who try to interpret the empirical data sensibly.

Stan Greenberg and Ana Iparraguirre on a Democracy Corps analysis of McCain vs. Obama, Obama Emerging Ahead In Close Race 05/29/08:

Obama's work is made easier by the emerging partisan trends, issues, desire for leadership and choice before voters. The historic partisan shifts continue, even as the economy emerges even more dominant and desperate and even as voters reject arguments for staying in Iraq long term. While voters want a strong commander in chief, they also want leaders who can unite the country and give hope. Most important, Obama’s definition of the race – McCain will continue Bush’s direction and Obama will bring change – produces 56 percent more likely to vote for him, 8 points stronger than any definition McCain has yet offered. As with the primary, change is beginning to play a dominant role and remains dangerous for any incumbent party.

The White Working Class: Forgotten Voters No More by John Harwood New York Times 05/26/08, reporting on an interview with Ruy Teixeira.

Tags: barack obama, race, racism