On reflection, it’s obvious why: a weak economy both drives up deficits and drives down the demand for funds, while a strong economy does the reverse. Thus the surpluses of the late Clinton years were associated with high interest rates, while the current recession has depressed both rates and revenues.Tags: us economy
And what about the bounce in interest rates over the past few months? It reflects a gradual reduction in the end-of-the-world discount: interest rates have risen along with stock prices as investors have gradually become convinced that we’re avoiding a second Great Depression.
Tuesday, August 18, 2009
Another non-problem of the federal deficit
Paul Krugman (Nick Beaudrot explains it all 08/17/09) has a good brief reminder about how superficial and wrong the deficit scolds can be, in this case in particular on the idea that high deficits drive up interest rates:
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