Showing posts with label maría corina machado. Show all posts
Showing posts with label maría corina machado. Show all posts

Monday, March 09, 2015

Obama declares a state of emergency over ... Venezuela?!?

"Venezuela is Latin America's biggest exporter of crude oil and has the world's largest petroleum reserves." - Brian Ellsworth and Andrew Cawthorne, Venezuela death toll rises to 13 as protests flare Reuters 02/24/2014

President Obama just declared a state of emergency for the United States over Venezuela. Seriously.

The White House website provides the Declaration of a National Emergency with Respect to Venezuela 03/09/2015:

Pursuant to the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (50 U.S.C. 1701 et seq.) (IEEPA), I hereby report that I have issued an Executive Order (the "order") declaring a national emergency with respect to the unusual and extraordinary threat to the national security and foreign policy of the United States posed by the situation in Venezuela. [my emphasis]
The concrete measures involved consist of visa requirements for Venezuelans traveling to the US and, more significantly, sanctions directed at seven Venezuelan officials.

Jeff Mason and Roberta Rampton report for Reuters in U.S. declares Venezuela a national security threat, sanctions top officials 03/09/2015:

Declaring any country a threat to national security is the first step in starting a U.S. sanctions program. The same process has been followed with countries such as Iran and Syria, U.S. officials said.

The White House said the order targeted people whose actions undermined democratic processes or institutions, had committed acts of violence or abuse of human rights, were involved in prohibiting or penalizing freedom of expression, or were government officials involved in public corruption.

"Venezuelan officials past and present who violate the human rights of Venezuelan citizens and engage in acts of public corruption will not be welcome here, and we now have the tools to block their assets and their use of U.S. financial systems," White House spokesman Josh Earnest said in a statement.

"We are deeply concerned by the Venezuelan government's efforts to escalate intimidation of its political opponents. Venezuela's problems cannot be solved by criminalizing dissent," he added.
The also note the apparent approval of the US actions by the leading opposition figure, "Opposition leader and twice-presidential candidate Henrique Capriles told Reuters the sanctions were a problem for a corrupt elite in the Maduro government, but not ordinary Venezuelans."

Capriles is the Governor of the Venezuelan state of Miranda. He came close to defeating Maduro in the Presidential election of April 2013. He disagreed with strategy still pushed by radical-right opposition leaders Leopoldo Lopez and María Corina Machado to force Maduro's government out of office - to overthrow it, in other words - before the next Presidential election. But he seems to be supporting the hostile American measures against his own country.

Without splitting a lot of hairs here, I consider Obama's sanctions against Venezuela and today's declaration an a clear statement of his Administration's overt sympathy for the efforts of the radical right opposition to overthrow Venezuela's elected government of President Nicolás Maduro by extra-constitutional means.

Formal sanctions against government officials are not a normal situation in diplomatic relations. Venezuela and the other nations of Latin America will understand this as a serious attempt by the US and the Obama Administration to overthrow the Venezuelan government. And they're right to take it that way. They would be foolish not to.

Carpriles' apparent support for the American actions is another indication that in practice the US government is acting to some significant extent in political cooperation with the opposition and vice versa.

President Maduro responded in a predictably patriotic tone in this statement, Maduro: "Obama asumió personalmente la tarea de derrocar mi gobierno" 09.03.2015


Before Obama's state of emergency order was announced, the Venezuelan paper Últimas Noticias presents this report featuring a Chilean senator talking about lessons from the 1973 coup against Salvador Allende in Chile and the Veneuelan radical right's current effort to oust Maduro, titled simply Senador Alejandro Navarro 08.03.2015:

09.03.2015

Saab asegura que funcionarios sancionados "no tienen visas ni bienes" en EEUU

Lucas Keorner reports on Obama's state of emergency in U.S. President Barack Obama Brands Venezuela a "Security Threat," Implements New Sanctions VenezuelaAnalysis.com 03/09/2015:

The executive order is the latest in a series of U.S. sanctions imposed on Venezuela over the past few months. On February 3, the Obama administration expanded the list of Venezuelan officials barred from entering the U.S., which now includes the Chief Prosecutor Luis Ortega Diaz.

"Venezuelan officials past and present who violate the human rights of Venezuelan citizens and engage in acts of public corruption will not be welcome here, and we now have the tools to block their assets and their use of U.S. financial systems," announced White House spokesman Josh Earnest.

The U.S. has failed thus far to disclose evidence that might bolster its claims of human rights violations, leading Venezuelan and other regional leaders to condemn what they regard as the arbitrary and political character of U.S. sanctions.

While regional bodies such as the Union of South American Nations (UNASUR) have called for dialogue, Washington has so far refused to support negotiations or to recognise the organisation's stance.

Friday, February 20, 2015

Caracas Mayor arrested on charge of promoting a coup against the Venezuela government

"Venezuela is Latin America's biggest exporter of crude oil and has the world's largest petroleum reserves." - Brian Ellsworth and Andrew Cawthorne, Venezuela death toll rises to 13 as protests flare Reuters 02/24/2014

That quote comes from almost exactly a year ago, as months of protests driven by the hard-right faction of the conservative opposition in Venezuela were ramping up.

The Obama Administration instituted formal Sanctions against Venezuela late in 2014, making Venezuela the only other country in the Western Hemisphere besides Cuba subject to US sanctions.

Caracas Metropolitan District Mayor Antonio Ledezma, a leader in the opposition to President Nicolás Maduro and his ruling Partido Socialista Unido de Venezuela (PSUV), was arrested on charges of planning a coup against Maduro's government. The US State Department was quick to vocally criticize the government for Ledezma's arrest. (Roberta Jacobson: EE UU "profundamente" preocupado por "intimidación" a opositores Panorama 20.02.2015)

Ledezma is a member of the small Alianza Bravo Pueblo party. In a post last April I noted, "One major opposition leader, Antonio Ledezma, Mayor of Metropolitan Caracas, is not explicitly supporting the far-right group led by Leopoldo López and María Corina Machado. But he paints the situation in hysterical terms to which the far right would be unlikely to object."

The Independent reports (Lamiat Sabin, Mayor Antonio Ledezma arrested and dragged out of office 'like a dog' by police in Venezuela 02/20/2015):

Last week, Mr Maduro named Mr Ledezma – who was elected as mayor in 2008 after beating a socialist candidate – among critics and Western powers he believes are enemies to his government.

The US state department called his accusations of coup-plotting “baseless and false”, and said they are to distract from Venezuela’s severe economic problems such as widespread shortages and inflation that reached 68% last year.
And the State Department knows hours after the arrest that the coup planning charges are “baseless and false” ... how? Because the NSA is monitoring every word and movement Ledezma has been making? Because the US is careful to coordinate carefully with all coup plotting in Venezuela?

Gladys Gutiérrez, President of the Venezuelan Supreme Constitutional Court, made a public statement telling the United States to stay out of Venezuelan politics, "Exigimos el cese a las agresiones contra el gobierno democráticamente electo, el Estado y el pueblo venezolano" ("We demand the cessation of the aggressions against the democratically elected government, the state and Venezuelan people"). (TSJ expresó “rechazo categórico” al injerencismo de Estados Unidos Panorama 20.02.2015)

The dragged-like-a-dog reference in The Independent's headline Ismael García comes from a tweet by National Assembly (Parliament) member Ismael García of the opposition parties Avanzada Progresista and Primero Justicia (PJ). The article does not report whether Ledezma was placed in a collar with a chain attached to it.

Bill Clinton also got into the act, tweeting:


Why is Bill Clinton stepping in on behalf of one of the main leaders of the far-right opposition (Leopoldo López) that was and is explicitly seeking the immediate, extra-constitutional removal of the government of Venezuela that had been elected in a tightly competitive election in 2013? Good question!

Rachel Boothroyd reports for Venezuela Analysis on the charges against Ledezma, presumably basing her description of the offical justification for the arrest. (Venezuelan Opposition Mayor, Alias “The Vampire,” Arrested for Role in Blue Coup Plot 02/20/2015) She also recounts how Ledezma had more recently identified himself with the more-or-less explicit coup plan promoted by Leopoldo López and María Machado:

The planned coup was uncovered last week by security forces, just hours before several US backed Air Force officials had planned to partake in a bombing spree of strategic targets in the capital. They had hoped this would lead to the assassination of the country’s president and bring about regime change in the South American country.

“Antonio Ledezma who, today, by order of the Public Prosecutor’s Office, was captured and is going to be prosecuted by the Venezuelan justice system, to make him answer to all of the crimes committed against the peace and security of the country and the Constitution ... We’ve had enough of conspiracies, we want to work in peace!” announced Venezuelan President, Nicolas Maduro, amidst a chorus of cheers from onlookers.

Last week, Ledezma, who is current Mayor of the Metropolitan Capital District of Caracas, signed a statement calling for a “National Transition Agreement” alongside opposition politicians, Maria Corina Machado and currently detained leader of the Popular Will party, Leopoldo Lopez.

The document calls on Venezuelans to unite behind a plan to remove elected President Nicolas Maduro and sets out an action programme for the would be provisional government. This includes facilitating the return of “exiled” Venezuelans, prosecuting current members of government and reaching out to international financial lending agencies such as the International Monetary Fund. [my emphasis]
He hasn't exactly been entirely faithful to constitutional scruples in the recent past:

It is not the first time that Ledezma has been implicated in a plan to violently overthrow the government. In 2002, he participated in an attempted coup which saw socialist president of the time, Hugo Chavez, ousted for a period of 47 hours. Last year, he was also named several times as a “principal ally” by currently detained terror plotter, Lorent Saleh. Saleh was one of the main underground activists fuelling the armed barricades known as guarimbas which last year claimed the lives of at least 43 Venezuelans. He had planned to go on a killing spree with the help of Colombian paramilitaries but was arrested before the plan could take place.

Popularly known as “the vampire”, Ledezma began his political career in 1973 as a member of the “Democratic Action” Party. In 1989, he infamously became Governor of the Federal District of Caracas, when he oversaw one of the most violent periods in the history of the Caracas Metropolitan Police.
Boothroyd also thinks reports of his being dragged out like a dog are not supported by the available facts:

Although international press has widely reported that the Mayor was manhandled when SEBIN officers entered his office, a video of the detention has emerged appearing to show a reticent but unharmed Ledezma being escorted from his office by several armed guards. Photos published of glass on the floor in Ledezma's office by news agency, Ultimas Noticias, appear to show that SEBIN forcibly entered the building.

Friday, May 09, 2014

US sanctions against Venezuela?

"Venezuela is Latin America's biggest exporter of crude oil and has the world's largest petroleum reserves." - Brian Ellsworth and Andrew Cawthorne, Venezuela death toll rises to 13 as protests flare Reuters 02/24/2014

This headline illustrates that even McClatchy, who does such good reporting on the Middle East, isn't above hysterical headlines about Venezuela: Chris AdamsAs Venezuela continues crushing dissent, a bipartisan push in Senate for sanctions 05/08/2014.

Yes, just as the G-7 this week were declaring they want to get Europe less dependent on Russian oil, the rightwing Cuban lobby, aka "Miami", and their Florida Senators Marco Rubio and Blue Dog Democrat Bill Nelson think it would be a dandy idea to carry on a mini-Cold War with Venezuela, the country with the largest oil reserves in the world.

We can only marvel at the geopolitical perception of these foreign policy prophets.

Rubio tried on a little populist rhetoric, although it's hardly good taste in Republican circles to criticize rich people for ostentatious consumption - unless they're libruls, of course:

Citing sanctions against individuals in Russia for that country’s actions in Ukraine, Rubio asked what the difference was between repressive officials there and those in Venezuela.

"We sanction human rights violators all the time," Rubio said. "The only difference between those sanctions, those people, and others, is they spend their weekends in Miami."

He spoke of people connected to the Venezuelan regime who live in Miami and "drive up and down the streets in their fancy cars. They laugh at you and they laugh at us, because they know they can get away with these things."
Yeah, Russia, Venezuela, they both have government, they're big in the oil business and they spread funny foreign languages. They're just alike. All a bunch of rich Commies with big cares. Or something.

Illinois Sen. Dick Durbin, another Democrat who constantly seeks to show he's not one of them thar "bleeding-heart liberals" - he uses the term - is on the bandwagon, too:

The criticism of the administration’s go-slow stance was bipartisan. Sen. Richard Durbin, D-Ill., said the administration’s hesitancy on sanctions in the Venezuelan crisis could be applied to the use of sanctions in other places.

"I think you continue to make arguments against sanctions, and I have to ask you, 'What’s your alternative?’" he said. "If we start with the premise that we can’t do anything that might affect the Venezuelan economy because it will hurt innocent people, we find ourselves at the end of the day saying, ‘Well, they’re just aren’t many sanctions’" the U.S. could use.

"If we're not going to use military force, what are sanctions that might result in a positive outcome?" Durbin asked.
"What's your alternative?" Uh, not rushing into needless conflicts? Not backing hard-right extremists in Venezuela like Leopoldo López and María Corina Machado in trying to overthrow an elected government? Maybe trying to build positive relationships with the government presiding over the world's largest oil reserve?

Not surprisingly, Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro has some ideas about sanctions and the alternatives (Maduro a EE UU: "Estúpidos, saquen sus sanciones" Panorama 09.05.2014):

"Ya ni provoca responder las estupideces que dicen las élites imperialistas del norte. Que se queden con sus amenazas y estupideces, dediquemos a construir patria y no dejemos que nadie se meta en los asuntos de nuestra patria. Ahora andan diciendo que nos van a sancionar. ¡Estúpidos, eso es lo que son! saquen sus sanciones, al pueblo de Bolívar no los para las sanciones de ningún imperio”, soltó el Jefe de Estado este viernes.

“Que viva la dignidad del pueblo de Venezuela, abajo el imperialismo. Son luchas de todos los días (…) ante cualquier ataque imperialista tiene que haber una respuesta de organización, que se consolide la fuerza para luchar, que cada quien se defina. Aquí hay un proyecto de patria, el más avanzado de la historia de 200 años de República, un proyecto democrático y profundamente humanista que fue construido sobre la base de la conciencia del país”.

["The idiocies that the imperialist elites of the North say don't even deserve a response. Let them take their threats and idiocies, let us dedicate ourselves to building our homeland and to not allowing anyone to meddle in the business of our homeland. Now they are going around saying that they are going to sanction us. Idiots, that's what they are! take your sanctions, the people of Bolívar are not going to stop because of sanctions of any imperialist power," the Chief of States declared this Friday.

"Hooray for the dignity of the people of Venezuela, down with imperialism. There are struggles every day ... Facing any kind of imperialist attack we have to have an organized response, that consolidates our forces to fight, no matter who is defining it. Here we have a national project, the most advanced in 200 years of the Republic, a democratic project and a profoundly humanist one"] that was constructed on the basis of the conscience of the country."]
By the "national project," he means the political project of the Bolivarian Revolution, as the chavistas refer to their cause.

This is a video of part of Maduro's statement from the state television channel VTV, Maduro a voceros de EEUU: ¡Estúpidos…Al pueblo de Bolívar no lo para sanciones de ningún imperio! 09.05.2014:



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Sunday, May 04, 2014

Venezuela through the fog of lazy (or worse!) conventional wisdom

"Venezuela is Latin America's biggest exporter of crude oil and has the world's largest petroleum reserves." - Brian Ellsworth and Andrew Cawthorne, Venezuela death toll rises to 13 as protests flare Reuters 02/24/2014

I'm not especially impressed with Aljazeera English's reporting and op-ed features on Latin American politics. Latest case in point for me: Remi Piet, Russia and Latin America: What gives? 05/02/2014.

Soviet Foreign Minister Lavrov is on a diplomatic tour in Latin America that includes Cuba, Nicaragua, Peru and Chile. Piet's opinion piece is mostly a catalogue of not-very-enlightening conventional wisdom about how flaky various Central and South American government supposedly are.

This was especially interesting:

Venezuela, once the economic driving force of the "Bolivarian Alliance for the Peoples of Our America" - the regional integration scheme promoted by Chavez - is now stricken by economic depression and a hyperinflation which forced Maduro to increase by 30 percent the minimum wage in the country for the second time this year. This populist move, in the naïve hope of contenting demonstrators, mostly increased the already alarming deficits which culminated at a staggering 11.5 percent of GDP in 2013.
"Hyperinflation" is a real scare word, although inflation in Venezuela has been severe recently. But that debt number has to be some kind of mistake. 11.5%? That would be minuscule! This chart from Trading Economics shows a 49.8% ration of debt-to-GDP as of now, far lower than that of most industrialized countries, even assuming this is excluding debt of Venezuelan states and municipalities. I see no good reason to thing that's a particular concerning level of debt for a petrostate like Venezuela.

For publicity and propaganda purposes, an inflation rate of 30% will for the foreseeable future sound horrifying to average "middle class" people in developed countries. But if you have a government like the one in Venezuela who takes active measures like selective price controls and measures to increase wages so that ordinary workers' real income can keep pace with inflation, it may not be so horrifying.

It's a nice little touch that Piet adds in saying that a 30% increase in minimum wages is being done "in the naïve hope of contenting demonstrators." Gee, raising people's income by 30% sounds like a pretty good way of producing greater contentment to me!

Mark Weisbrot has a recent piece on Venezuela that provides a much more level-headed and, from what I call tell, realistic picure of what's going on in the current political conflict there, The Story of Venezuela’s Protests May Be Different From What You Are Told CEPR 04/28/2014. For instance, he writes, "Of course the increased shortages and rising inflation over the past year have had a political impact on Venezuela, but it is striking that the people who are most hurt by shortages are decidedly not joining the protests. Instead, the protests are joined and led by the upper classes, who are least affected." In that sense, Piet may be right when he says the increases isn't a promising way of "contenting demonstrators." The demonstrations appear to be more a product of grumpy but comfortable segments of the country.

This is also an important point from Weisbrot about the Venezuelan media, who one would think from the conventional coverage is virtually dominated by the national government:

As for the media, state TV in Venezuela has only about 10 percent of the TV audience; the New York Times recently had to run a correction for falsely reporting that opposition voices are not regularly heard on Venezuelan TV. They are on TV, even calling for the overthrow of the government – which has been the announced goal of the protest leaders from the beginning. These are not like the protests last year in Brazil, or the student protests from 2011-13 in Chile, which were organized around specific demands.
He's right about the diplomatic support that Venezuela is getting in this current situation from fellow UNASUR members:

The strategy of Venezuela’s extreme right is to make the country ungovernable, so as to gain by force what they have been unable to win in 18 elections over the past 15 years. It is clear from the statements of Brazil’s former president Lula da Silva and current president Dilma Rousseff that they have no illusions about what is going on in Venezuela. It is now 50 years since Brazil's coup brought in the military dictatorship that put them in prison, but they can remember what a coup looks like. So, too, can the other governments of South America, who have made similar statements.
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Sunday, April 20, 2014

Venezuela through the lens of the PBS Newshour

This report below from PBS Newshour on the situation on Venezuela is, at best, sloppy. My confidence in the Newshour's reporting has declined recently, not least thanks to reports like this, these two from The Young Turks.

PBS Has Some Explaining To Do 03/10/2014:



That report was based on Davied Sirota's article, After pledging transparency, PBS hides details of new deal with billionaire owner of NewsHour PandoDaily 03/07/2014.

More on the same theme from an earlier Young Turks report, PBS Gets On Its Knees For Billionaires/Integrity Is Dead 02/13/2014:



The PBS Newshour report is this, Socialism after Chavez: Political divisions deepen amid unrest in Venezuela, YouTube video title, Political divisions deepen amid unrest in Venezuela 04/18/2014:



We need realistic news reporting on Venezuela. This one falls short, for reasons I'm going to describe in some detail:

[Hugo Chávez'] handpicked successor, Nicolas Maduro, was elected president soon after [Chávez' death]. As Maduro marks the end of his first year in office tomorrow, divisions have deepened in a country that has become violent in recent months.
Given how little even the average PBS Newshour presumably knows about Venezuelan politics, it might have been appropriate to mention here that while Maduro was Chavez' preferred successor, he won the President's office a year ago in a competitive election. Competitive enough that Maduro won by less than a couple of percentage points.

Late last week, after more than three months of sometimes deadly street protests throughout Venezuela, President Nicolas Maduro met with his political opposition.

The six-hour televised session brokered by the Vatican and three South American foreign ministers attracted record ratings on Venezuelan TV, reflecting the nation's anxiety at the street violence that has killed more than 40 and posed the biggest challenge to the government in more than a decade. [my emphasis]
After all the reports we've seen about how Maduro's government is suppressing the press, it's worth noting that these talks with the opposition "attracted record ratings on Venezuelan TV." They were also reported in other media in Venezuela, as well. They featured a number of opposition leaders from the umbrella opposition alliance, Mesa de la Unidad Democrática (MUD). Including Henrique Capriles who was the MUD candidate who came close to defeating Maduro in last year's Presidential election.

When I saw the title of the YouTube video, "Political divisions deepen amid unrest in Venezuela," I expected a big part of the report to deal with the major divisions among the opposition. Capriles and his electoral alliance initially refused to accept the result of the Presidential election a year ago and engaged in street demonstrations that resembled the present militant dissent.

But in the current disruptions, a far-right faction of the MUD lead by Leopoldo López and María Corina Machado. This faction is explicitly about pursuing a goal of immediate "regime change," as Machado has explicitly said. They call their current goal La Salida, the exit, meaning immediate change of government without waiting for elections. Capriles has kept his distance from that strategy, sticking with a goal of seeking a change of government through the established constitutional, parliamentary institutions. That hasn't stopped him from being bitterly critical of the Maduro government and putting the blame for violence and misconduct during the protests onto the government.

State and municipal governments have elected governments in Venezuela, with some mayors and governors from the chavista party and others from the MUD coalition. In municipal elections in December, the national ruling chavista party gained notably in its vote percentage compared to last April's elections. Yet Moisés Naím, a former Venezuelan Development Minister aqnd syndicated columnist, appears in the segment saying, "And even the election results show that about half the country is against the government." About half: apparently meaning less than half and not enough to win a larger majority than Maduro's party! Later, they quote an anti-Maduro engineer saying, "We are talking for the other half of Venezuela, and the president is ignoring us." I guess the President appearing on live television for six hours with major opposition leaders, an event that "attracted record ratings on Venezuelan TV," doesn't count.

If the Newshour was going include comments like Maim's and the engineer's, they should have inserted some solid information about, you know, the actual elections over the last year. They also include a comment from the same engineer, "He always spent money before elections. That is why he won." Gee, a government spends public funds to do things that benefit ordinary people and then they vote for him! Oh, the horror, the horror!

Michael Stifter, president of a group called the Inter-American Dialogue, is one of the experts interviewed by Margaret Warner for the segment. He strikes a seemingly moderate tone in the parts of the interview aired, but his framing is clearly sympathetic to the opposition. He allows that Hugo Chávez "put his finger on a legitimate grievance in Venezuela." (Only one?!) But Warner's segment lets this statement of his pass without challenge or correction: "The problem is, this is a model that has obviously failed and obviously is unable to deliver basic goods to people, a reasonable economic environment with security protections." It's certainly relevant here that a majority of Venezuela's voters haven't yet decided its' "obvious" that the chavista model is a failed one.

And what does it mean when Stifter says the current government and chavista economic model is "unable to deliver basic goods to people"? There are shortages in some grocery items. But one could easily draw the conclusion from Stifter's comment that some major portion of the people are on the verge of starvation, which is not the case. In fact, the rates of poverty and extreme poverty have fallen dramatically in Venezuela during the chavista period.

I'll give the Newshour credit for not throwing out a few of common points that one sees about Venezuela: that the government is a dictatorship; and, the idea that the government party monopolizes the news media, which is far from the case.

They do mention inflation, which scares average Americans more than it seems to scare Venezuelan voters.

But they work the groceries business, and do so in a way that would seem disturbing to the average American news consumer. It's one thing not to be able to get adequate food. It's quite a different thing not to be able to find your favorite brand in every grocery store.

The Newshour segment quotes a woman from the state of San Cristobal, without noting that its the state where the current round of protests began in early February.

MARGARET WARNER: To test the public’s view of all this, a NewsHour crew went to San Cristobal far from the capital, near the Colombian border, to meet up with architecture student Geraldine Colmenares. She’s finding life untenable right now:

GERALDINE COLMENARES, (through interpreter): I cannot go out on the streets and get what I want to feed my child, always having to stand in line, looking from supermarket to supermarket and thinking if I’m going to get back home alive.

MARGARET WARNER: She doesn’t stay long at her neighborhood’s barricades. She’s afraid to take her young son, but she helps by supplying protesters with food and water. She too has no confidence in Maduro.

GERALDINE COLMENARES (through interpreter): Maduro wants to do the same as Chavez, but he can’t. He wants to be like Chavez, but he is not like Chavez. [my emphasis]
She can't get "what I want to feed my child" - starving children! - but she "helps by supplying protesters with food"? Say what?

The report alludes to the problem of violence there and elsewhere without ever distinguishing criminal violence from violence directly associated with the political protests, thus inviting the viewer to conflate the two. There is a real and serious problem of criminal violence in Venezuela. I posted about it in January before the current round of protest began, Venezuelan actress Mónica Spear's murder becomes a national political shock. Also see below.

One thing that sticks out heavily, and that makes this piece look to me more than a little influenced by animus against the Venezuelan government, is the segment just after 5:10, featuring the one straight-up Maduro supporter interview in the segment, Marlin Marchand. Who happens to be the only person focused on in the segment who is very dark-skinned, the only one an American audience would immediately code as black. The other two person-on-the-street style interviews are a light-skinned male student and the light-skinned and middle-class-looking San Cristobal lady. How would a typical American Republican viewer understand the following:

MARGARET WARNER: There are still plenty of fervent Chavistas who are sticking with Maduro, like Marlin Marchand, who lives with her mother in Caracas, and depends on Chavez era government programs, like the subsidized food stores.

MARLIN MARCHAND, Maduro Supporter (through interpreter): This merkal is a basic grocery, but with very low prices. A pack of flour cost two bolivars. On the open market, it’s 35 or 50. Why? Because capitalism is structured in a way that we, the poor, can’t buy what we need.

MARGARET WARNER: She says her faith in Chavez and Maduro endures.

MARLIN MARCHAND (through interpreter): Chavez was a leader. He built schools for people who did not know how to read, and now many more people know how to read. This is socialism, and Chavez transmitted this to President Maduro. Maduro’s made mistakes. Nobody's perfect, but he's trying to lead things in a positive direction.
She's black, she supports "socialism," she criticizes capitalism explicitly and, as Warner helpfully explains to the viewers, "depends on Chavez era government programs, like the subsidized food stores." Food stamps! Socialism! A Taker not a Maker! Taking tax money from the Job Creators! They show empty shelves in a grocery store earlier in the segment when they are talking about shortages. But while the Socialist Taker is speaking, they show stuffed shelves in that communist food market with the food stamp subsidies.

Good grief! It's hard to imagine that report accidentally came out with a framing that a Venezuelan opposition political consultant could have happily suggested. If they didn't get some kind of payoff for this from a political consultant or the CIA or some neocon "democracy promotion" outfit wanting to overthrown Maduro's government, they were leaving easy money on the table!

And given the other problems with the report, it's pretty painfully noticeable that the two of the three anti-Maduro reg'lar folks they show interviewed as well as Shifter make statements that claim or could be easily interpreted as sympathetic to Chávez but critical of Maduro. They didn't leave the chavista party, the chavista party left them! The Newshour really should have taken the opposition cash.

It's interesting to note that one of their expert sources in the interview is Moisés Naím, the one-time Venezuelan Cabinet minbister, also recently wrote the following blatantly misleading - I'm being generous here - description of his country:

Venezuela is now the world champion of inflation, homicide, insecurity, and shortages of essential goods—from milk for children to insulin for diabetics and all kinds of indispensable products. All this despite having the greatest oil reserves in the world and a government with absolute control of all state institutions and levers of power. [my emphasis]
It might be useful if someone at the Newshour or The Atlantic or one of his colleagues at the Carnegie Endowment to ask him to defend those claims in light of competitive elections, opposition officeholders and aggressively critical private media companies.

The Real News has been providing far more informative and reality-based mreports on Venezuela in a nine-segment series of which three more segments are available on YouTube since I posted earlier ones.

The Modern History of Venezuela: The Bolivarian Revolution - Edgardo Lander on RAI (5/9) 04/16/2014:



Edgar Lander in that video talks about some of the challenges presented by Venezuela's dependence of the oil business to the professed aims of the Bolivarian Revolution there. he also talks about the countries agricultural challenges. "Agricultural culture in Venezuela was destroyed by oil," Lander says.

The Modern History of Venezuela and the Need for a Post-Oil Economy - Edgardo Lander on RAI (6/9) 04/17/2014:



Lander in that segment discusses with a more reality-based approached the segment that the Newshour quotes Moisés Naím presenting, a version that perhaps coincidentally is likely to appeal to conservative sentiments in the US: "Lack of investment in the oil industry — again, the Chavez model is not a model of investment. It’s not a model of boosting productivity. It’s a model of spending."



The Modern History of Venezuela, Why Still So Much Crime? - Edgardo Lander on RAI (7/9) 04/18/2014:



Lander in that video addresses the real problem of criminal violence in Venezuela and Caracas in particular and how the current justice and penal system do a badly inadequate job in dealing with it. This is a substantive criticism of the chavista governments of both Maduro and Chávez.



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Thursday, April 10, 2014

Venezuela and Ukraine and the US

"Venezuela is Latin America's biggest exporter of crude oil and has the world's largest petroleum reserves." - Brian Ellsworth and Andrew Cawthorne, Venezuela death toll rises to 13 as protests flare Reuters 02/24/2014

The crisis in Ukraine has coincided in time with the latest militant attempt by the Venezuelan opposition to overthrow the elected government there. Ukraine's Russia-friendly government was elected but was engaged in major repression, much more significantly so than what appears to be happening in Venezuela. But it was overthrown in what the left governments in Latin America have taken to calling a "soft coup."

Financial Times Latin America editor, John Paul Rathbone noted the similarities a couple of weeks into the Venezuela protests (Venezuela as Ukraine? 02/24/2014):

Just because Venezuela lacks Ukraine’s immediate geo-political heft – there are no borders in question in Venezuela; Europe’s energy security is not under threat; nor is the reach of Russia’s power or Vladimir Putin’s reputation – does not mean it lacks wider significance.

Caracas provides important economic assistance to Havana, without which Cuba’s economy would sink. Communist Cuba therefore has a vested interest in what happens in Venezuela, just as Russia does in Ukraine – a situation ripe for Cold War style comparisons.

In Venezuela, as in Ukraine, the confrontation also has deep roots that stretch back several years.
Jake Johnston recently wrote at the CEPR Americas Blog about The "Cubanization" of U.S. Policy Towards Venezuela 03/26/2014:

Venezuelan opposition politicians and their allies in the U.S. frequently decry Cuba’s alleged influence on the Venezuelan government. Ironically however, there seems to be an important and growing nexus between the Venezuelan opposition and the anti-Cuba lobby in the U.S. Cuban-American lawmakers recently introduced sanctions legislation targeting Venezuelan officials that appears to be designed to push U.S. policy toward Venezuela in the same direction as policy toward Cuba. ...

The Venezuela protests have "energized" members of Cuba’s opposition, reports the Times. Orlando Luis Pardo Lazo, an anti-Castro blogger in the U.S., told the Times, “The fate of Castro-ism may be at play in Venezuela…What we were not able to topple in Cuba, we may be able to topple there.”

Yet despite near constant claims from the Venezuelan opposition that Cuba is in control of their country (for instance, when it was announced that [far-right] Venezuelan congresswoman Maria Corina Machado [who calls for immediate "regime change"] would be investigated and possibly stripped of her position, she responded that “It’s clear to me that it was the Castro brothers who gave the order”), the Times notes that:

Such convictions are held by critics in both countries, although they offer little hard evidence to back their suspicions. And while some former Venezuelan military officers say that Cubans are involved in decision-making in the armed forces, some protesters go further, professing to see what they call “the hairy hand” of Cuba everywhere: saying they have detected Cuban “infiltrators” at street protests; seeing a Cuban hallmark in the tactics of Venezuela’s armed forces; and circulating unsubstantiated Internet reports that Cuban special forces, or Black Wasps, are operating in Venezuela.
The New York Times report he's quoting there is Protesting in Venezuela, With Antipathy Toward Cuba’s Government by 03/25/2014.

The Obama Administration has been openly sympathizing with the opposition but not overtly pushing for regime change. Josh Goodman reports in Venezuela's opposition to meet with government Tampa Bay Tribune 04/09/2014:

The U.S., which has sided with the opposition in criticizing Maduro's crackdown on the protests and jailing of critics, says it is supporting efforts to bring about dialogue.

Testifying Tuesday before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, Secretary of State John Kerry pushed back against calls by Florida Republican Marco Rubio that the U.S. impose sanctions against the Maduro government for alleged human rights abuses, saying that with negotiations a possibility, now isn't the time for taking a tougher stance.

"This is a very delicate time," Kerry said. "I don't want to do something today that provides cannon fodder for them to use against me or us."
("Cannon fodder" seems an odd metaphor in that context.)

The Ukraine crisis has gotten our US punditocracy all excited, and not just US pundits. Arms manufacturers looking for higher sales and military services looking to boost budgets not doubt see new opportunities in the Ukraine/Crimea situation. Pavel Podvig noted at the end of last month (What the Crimea crisis will do to US-Russia relations Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists 03/27/2014), "Even if the situation does not deteriorate further, bringing basic trust and confidence back to relations between Russia and the West will take a very long time." He notes some positive signs on arms-control issues:

The change may not be very visible at first, mainly because key elements of the arms control and disarmament infrastructure have remained intact. When some news reports suggested that Russia may suspend inspection activities under the New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (New START) in response to sanctions imposed by the West, the Kremlin quickly made a statement saying that it has no intention of reneging on its arms control obligations. Indeed, Moscow has made an effort to demonstrate its commitment to transparency in the military domain: On March 11, it allowed a series of Ukrainian overflights under the Open Skies Treaty. It also granted Ukraine’s request to conduct an inspection of a “non-declared military activity” in a border region. This kind of inspection is allowed under the 2011 Vienna Document, which built a framework for transparency on conventional forces in Europe.

New START activities were also unaffected—during these tense weeks, Russia duly notified the United States of the routine test launch of a ballistic missile, and conducted an inspection of the US strategic nuclear arsenal as called for under New START.
While this is a vital interest of both countries to avoid nuclear war, it's a more pressing one for Russia as the weaker power.

On the arms business front:

The West, however, does not seem inclined to treat Crimea as an isolated incident, so cooperation will probably suffer across the board, even though Russian participation is indispensable to a number of high-profile projects. For example, Moscow’s Soyuz rocket is currently the only way to take people to the International Space Station. The United States has been working on its own piloted spacecraft for some time, and we can now expect this work to accelerate.

Russia’s contract to supply RD-180 rocket engines could also suffer. This was a very valuable, commercially viable project in which Russia provided engines for most of the US military’s rocket launches. Now production is likely to move to the United States, and the US Air Force will be looking for alternative ways to launch its payloads. Termination of the RD-180 project would be a serious setback for US-Russian cooperation. Plus, the Russian producer of the engines, Energomash, would lose about 60 percent of its revenue, and the United States would have to spend about $1 billion to start production.
For some companies, a "new Cold War" would be good bitness. file that in the "everything old is new again" category.

But Ukraine is not part of NATO. NATO has no treaty obligation to defend it and has not tailored its military deployments to include war over Ukraine. For that matter, one question raised by the crisis is how seriously the US and other NATO countries thought through the real implications of the extended NATO commitments taken since the Cold War, particular those in the Baltic nations. More bitness opportunities for the weapons companies!

And one effect of the crisis has been to make a wider audience more mindful of issues in US-NATO-Russian relationships that close observers have been noticing for years but that our mainstream media, especially TV, have been too busy chasing Kardashians and missing planes to much notice. Paul Pillar talks about how the Russians more-or-less inevitably had to view NATO expansion (US Triumphalism and the Ukraine Mess Consortium News 04/05/2014):

The expansion of NATO into Eastern Europe broke a promise that the United States had made to Mikhail Gorbachev and that was part of a package of understandings facilitating the peaceful reunification of Germany. Breaking the promise was probably in part the arrogance associated with being the remaining superpower and feeling untroubled about the keeping of commitments.

It also reflected a general American tendency, amid one-sided focus on the credibility of threats, to overlook how the making of promises and commitments is a useful diplomatic tool. Breaking promises weakens the tool. Holding one’s own side accountable for fulfilling promises is important for the same reason that the right to be sued, and not just to sue, is an important civil right domestically; it is the right to be able to make an enforceable promise.
This is an important consideration. In typical US public discussions of "credibility," it's more often than not cast in more-or-less testosterone contest terms: who's showing "toughness" and "resolve."

The idea that being consistent in restraint does not sit well with the triumphalist approach that dominates US foreign-policy discussion. This in mind mind is the single most significant problem with the Obama Administration's intervention in the Libyan civil war. Muammar al-Gaddafi was not anyone's idea of a nice man nor was his government an admirable one. But Gaddafi voluntarily gave up his "weapons of mass destruction" programs at US demand. The Cheney-Bush Administration touted that (misleadingly) as the result of their Iraq War. But he gave up his nuclear weapons program. What lesson can other governments take from that? Pretty much only that if they cooperate with the US on arms control, they leave themselves vulnerable to being overthrown with active participation of the US.

Pillar also notes a far from negligible piece of US policy:

Another aspect of the typically Manichean way in which Americans tend to look at international politics is that there has to be a foe — something or somebody against whom the United States leads the forces of freedom and light. Once 9/11 came along there were Sunni extremists and al-Qaeda, but terrorist groups never make as good a foe as a state. Besides, the eastward expansion of NATO was already under way before 9/11. [my emphasis]
And besides freedom and goodness, there are also those sweet, sweet weapons deals to be done. Missiles to be sold, bombs to be dropped and replaced. The bitness of American is bitness, as we know from the wisdom of Calvin Coolidge.

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Tuesday, April 08, 2014

Political talks in Venezuela sponsored by UNASUR

"Venezuela is Latin America's biggest exporter of crude oil and has the world's largest petroleum reserves." - Brian Ellsworth and Andrew Cawthorne, Venezuela death toll rises to 13 as protests flare Reuters 02/24/2014

Mark Weisbrot writes about the Obama Administration's Venezuelan policy in an op-ed co-signed by Oliver Stone, Obama Administration Faces Diplomatic Isolation in Latin America on Venezuela CEPR 03/22/2014 (also appears as Obama wrong to isolate Venezuela Boston Globe 03/22/2014; Obama se aísla en Latinoamérica por Venezuela La Journada 28.03.2014.

The United States downgraded the priority of Latin America generally after the fall of the Soviet Union. That shift began with the Old Man Bush Administration, continued under Clinton and Shrub Bush (despite the Cheney-Bush Administration's backing for a coup in oil-rich Venezuela) and became even more pronounced under the Obama Administration. In the political coups in Honduras and Paraguay, this Administration showed indifference at best, more like tacit approval in the Honduran case. (Mark Weisbrot, Top Ten Ways You Can Tell Which Side The United States Government is On With Regard to the Military Coup in Honduras CEPR 12/16/2009) Although compared to the more typical historical US policy toward Latin America, indifference could count as a distinct improvement.

Weisbrot and Stone refer to:

... the lopsided vote at the Organization of American States (OAS) on Venezuela on March 7. Twenty-nine of 32 countries not only rejected Washington’s attempt to get the OAS to intervene in Venezuela, but to add insult to injury, passed a resolution expressing their solidarity with the government of President Nicolás Maduro. It is hard to imagine a more resounding diplomatic defeat in a body where the U.S. government still has quite a disproportionate influence.

The Obama administration seems surrealistically unaware that this is a very different hemisphere than it was 15 years ago. Governments representing the majority of Latin America are now from the left: including Brazil, Argentina, Ecuador, Bolivia, Uruguay, and Venezuela in South America; El Salvador and Nicaragua in Central America. These governments emphatically reject Washington’s depiction of the recent events in Venezuela as a government trying to "repress peaceful protesters." If we look at the statements of these governments and bodies such as the South American trading bloc Mercosur and the Union of South American Nations, they share Maduro's view of the protests. They see them as an attempt to overthrow a democratically-elected government. Even President Michelle Bachelet of Chile, who is reluctant to criticize Washington as many of the others do, used the word “destabilization” to describe the protests. And they see that Washington is once again using its muscle to support this effort. [my emphasis]
It's significant that there was no such collective, defensive diplomatic reactions by South American nations to the mass protests that broke out in Brazil in the winter of 2013 (which was mid-year, summer in the Northern Hemisphere), notwithstanding the good relations that Brazilian President Dilma Rousseff has with her Latin American neighbors. South American governments evidently did not see those protests as a danger to the democratic system or as showing signs of foreign intervention. (On the Brazilian protests, see André Singer, Rebellion in Brazil: Social and Political Complexion of the June Events New Left Review Jan-Feb 2014)

Weisbrot and Stone also note:

The Obama administration’s manipulation of the OAS in the aftermath of the 2009 military coup in Honduras – to help legitimize the dictatorship -- spurred the rest of the region to form a new hemispheric organization, CELAC, without the U.S. and Canada. True to form, it was only the U.S. and Canada, joined by the right-wing government of Panama that objected to the March 7 resolution.
The Venezuelan government has been cooperating with UNASUR attempts to broker peaceful consulations with opposition leaders (Venezuela's Maduro agrees to Unasur-brokered opposition talks BBC News 04/07/2014) The government has announced that formal talks will begin on Friday to include governors and mayors from opposition parties. (Gobierno convoca a reunión con gobernadores de oposición Últimas Noticias 08.04.2014) There was an initial meeting between Maduro and some opposition leaders on Monday. (Maduro: “Si la reunión con la oposición se concreta, será un gran mensaje de paz” Panorama 08.03.2014)

Henrique Capriles, Governor of the state of Miranda, was the Presidential candidate of the opposition last year who came very close to defeating Nicolás Maduro. Although a year ago he initially refused to accept the election results and promoted militant protests similar to the ones we're seeing the last couple of months, he has kept his distance from the far right's demands to immediately overturn Maduro's elected government. As of this report in Panorama, he has not yet agree to be part of the formal talks: Unasur podría sentarse con los 23 gobernadores 07.04.2014. But he has agreed to talk with the foreign ministers of UNASUR sponsoring the talks. Capriles seems to be walking a line between keeping his credibility among the opposition parties while not embracing the immediate regime-change demands of the far right.

One major opposition leader, Antonio Ledezma, Mayor of Metropolitan Caracas, is not explicitly supporting the far-right group led by Leopoldo López and María Corina Machado. But he paints the situation in hysterical terms to which the far right would be unlikely to object (Ledezma insta a estar atentos a las intenciones de Unasur Últimas Noticias 08.04.2014):

“Liberen a Leopoldo López que está secuestrado, permitan el retorno de los exiliados, liberen a Iván Simonovis que se está muriendo en Ramo Verde, resuelvan el problema de la invasión cubana, resuelvan la separación de poderes”, exhortó el Alcalde Mayor.

[Free Leopoldo López who has been kidnapped, permit the return of the exiles, free Iván Simonovis who is dying in Ramo Verde, resolve the problem of the Cuban invasion, resolve the separation of powers," the Alcalde Mayor exhorted.]
Saying that it's hysterical - e.g., "the Cuban invasion" referring to Cuban personnel working in Venezuela with the government - doesn't mean there isn't substance to some of the complaints. It's not clear to me, for instance, to what extent the evidence would justify López' jailing on charges of promoting violence.

Machado tweeted on April 7:


"The only dialogue that we will accept is the one that facilitates the democratic transition," in this case meaning the overturning of the democratically elected government. (La respuesta de MCM a la propuesta de diálogo de Maduro Noticias 24 Venezuela 08.04.2014)

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Tuesday, March 25, 2014

More on the escalating tensions in Venezuela

"Venezuela is Latin America's biggest exporter of crude oil and has the world's largest petroleum reserves." - Brian Ellsworth and Andrew Cawthorne, Venezuela death toll rises to 13 as protests flare Reuters 02/24/2014

I'm going to use that opening quote for a while on posts about Venezuela because it succinctly states what shapes US foreign policy toward Venezuela and also has a huge effect on domestic politics. Venezuela's oil industry is under the umbrella of the state-owned oil company, PDVSA (Petróleos de Venezuela, Sociedad Anónima).

TV Pública argentina has a brief report on the news from Venezuela of the arrest of three generals on charges they were attempting a coup, Venezuela: Detienen a tres generales por intento de golpe de Estado 25.03.2014:



It also contains a report about how Diosdado Cabello, President of the Venezuelan parliament, the National Assembly (AN), announced he's expelling far-right leader María Corina Machado for accepting payment from a foreign government without getting the required approval from the AN, citing a statement by the government of Panama asking Machado to serve as an alternate delegate for Panama to the Organization of American States (OAS). (Andrés Tovar, ¿Qué dicen los artículos 149 y 191 de la Constitución? Últimas Noticias 24.03.2014) Machado's supporters are arguing that Cabello does not have the authority on his on to expel her.

Machado appeared last week at a meeting of the Organization of American State (OAS), in which Panama offered to cede its place to her for the purpose of allowing her to present the Venezuelan opposition's case, though the group did not allow her to do so.

Machado tweeted the photo of herself appearing at the University of Lima along with Mauricio Macri, Governor of the City of Buenos Aires and a key opposition leader against Argentine President Cristina Fernández' left-Peronist government, and also with conservative writer Mario Vargas Llosa (Daniel Lozano, Maduro sube la apuesta y echa a una diputada opositora La Nación) Her hashtag #DictaduraEnLaAN is a reference to Cabello's action.


Página/12 explains (Denuncia internacional por "fascismo" 26.03.20141):

Machado es una de las figuras más populares de la Mesa de Unidad Democrática (MUD), que reúne a 29 partidos opositores y, junto al encarcelado Leopoldo López y al alcalde metropolitano de Caracas, Antonio Ledezma, encarna dentro de esa coalición la postura más radical contra el gobierno.

[Machado is one of the most popular figures of the Mesa de Unidad Democrática (MUD), which unites 29 oppisition parties and, together with the jailed Leopoldo López and the metropolitan mayor of Caracas, Antonio Ledezma, embodies the most radical posture against the government within that coalition.]
The AN approved Ceballo's initiative to expel Machado, which also means she loses parliamentary immunity. (Parlamento venezolano ratifica que Machado dejó de ser diputado La Prensa 25.03.2014)

Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro is backing Ceballo in his intent to unseat Machado (Maduro sobre Ceballos: La decisión del TSJ es justicia Últimas Noticias 22.03.2014):

Que una jefa de la extrema derecha acepte ser embajadora de un gobierno hostil contra Venezuela no tiene comparación (...) Ella misma se autodespidió de su cargo al aceptar esto. Tiene casi el efecto de una renuncia aceptar un cargo diplomático de otro país",

[That a chief of the extreme right accepts being ambassador of a government hostile to Venezuela has no comparison ... She herself expelled herself from her seat by accepting this. It almost has the effect of a resignation to accept a diplomatic position with another country.]
What Cabello said in his statement was that Machado had agreed to be an alternate delegate for Panama to the Organization of American States (OAS). (See also María Corina Machado suspende visita a Panamá La Estrella de Panamá 18.03.2014)

Venezuela broke diplomatic relations with Panama earlier this month. (Venezuela's Maduro breaks diplomatic links with Panama BBC News 03/05/2014) Panama formally called for an OAS meeting on the situation in Venezuela. The OAS is dominated by the United States, which is the major reason South American nations are putting more emphasis over time on regional organizations like UNASUR of which the US is not a member.

Noticiero Visión Siete/TV Pública argentina reports on another aspect of the international cooperation against the elected government of Nicolás Maduro, V7inter: "Todos somos Venezuela" 22.03.2014:



The text accompanying the YouTube video says:

Ochenta diarios de toda América Latina se lanzaron a una inédita campaña conjunta para publicar de manera coordinada información sobre la crisis en Venezuela, con intenciones que se declaran oficialmente como políticas, y que apuntan a debilitar al gobierno de Nicolás Maduro.

[Eighty newspapers from all of Latin America have launched an unprecedented joint campaign to publish in a coordinated manner information about the crisis in Venezuela, with intentions to declare themselves officially as politicians {!} and to aim to debilitate the government of Nicolás Maduro.]
Al Jazeera English reports on the arrest of the three generals, Venezuela arrests air force generals 03/25/2014:



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Tuesday, February 25, 2014

Táchira Governor Vielma Mora on the Venezuelan opposition protests

José Gregorio Vielma Mora is the chavista Governor of the Venezuelan state of Táchira. He supports Nicolás Maduro's claims that the radical opposition is deliberately provoking acts of violence.

But he also directly criticizes the armed forces, the Guardia Nacional Bolivariana (GNB) for excesses in dealing with protests. (See Ministerio Público supervisó autopsia del ingeniero atacado por la GNB Últimas Noticias 24.02.2014)

At the same time, he expresses sympathy for 12 GNB members and 14 police that he says have been injured in Táchira during the current wave of protest. He also says that there are not student protesters there either injured, or in jail, or killed.

And he echoes the call by the opposition, including Henrique Capriles, to release far-right leader Lepoldo López from jail and to grant clemency to Iván Simonovis, currently in prison after being convicted of responsibility for deaths during the 2002 coup.

Vielma Mora: Estoy en contra de la represión Últimas Noticias 24.02.2014

Vielma Mora pidió liberar a Simonovis y a Leopoldo López Panorama 24.02.2014

Vielma Mora: Soy chavista de corazón y convicción Últimas Noticias 25.02.2014

Here is a brief report with Mora denouncing "paid terrorists" encouraging the disorders, Vielma Mora denuncia presencia de "terroristas pagados" en Táchira Últimas Noticias 02/25/2014:



Mora claims that there is a plan among militant oppositionists to promote separatism in the states of Mérida, Táchira and Zulia to establish more more secure political and physical base for the opposition. ("Hay una operación para hacerse con el Táchira, Mérida y Zulia": Vielma Mora Panorama 25.02.2014)

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Politics of Venezuelan unrest

Marco Rubio is criticizing the Maduro government in hopes of getting some political mileage out of it. Marco Rubio se enfrenta contra Nicolás Maduro y gana La Opinión 02/24/2014

In his characteristically subtle way, Maduro denounced Rubio as "el loco de los locos" ("the craziest of the crazy").

I don't think Rubio has to worry about that damaging him politically in Florida!

Meanwhile, opposition leader Henrique Capriles didn't follow through on his plan to meet with Maduro on Monday.

Brian Ellsworth and Andrew Cawthorne report in Venezuela death toll rises to 13 as protests flare
Reuters 02/24/2014:

Capriles, 41, spurned an invitation to meet Maduro in the afternoon as part of a gathering of mayors and governors that some had hoped would open up communications between both sides.

"This is a dying government ... I'm not going to be like the orchestra on the Titanic," he told reporters. "Miraflores (presidential palace) is not the place to talk about peace, it's the center of operations for abuses of human rights."

Capriles and other opposition figureheads are demanding that the government release imprisoned protest leader Leopoldo Lopez and about a dozen jailed student demonstrators.
Other opposition figureheads? The cultural news editor at The Daily Beast is probably denouncing Ellsworth and Cawthorne as "useful idiots" right now for writing that!

But they mention the key fact about Venezuela that Americans need to understand: "Venezuela is Latin America's biggest exporter of crude oil and has the world's largest petroleum reserves."

That fact alone guarantees that there will be considerably pressure on any government that inconveniences the oil multinationals. And that the views of those in Venezuela who are inclined to advocate for the international oil lobby's interests will have a generous hearing in the American media.

The unrest of the moment, though, seems almost self-limiting. Leaders like María Corina Machado, Leopoldo López and Caracas Metropolitan District Mayor Antonio Ledezma of the may have raised their profile among the opposition in comparison to Henrique Capriles. But the López/Machado faction driving the protest evidently has limited support for their current "atajo" (shortcut) strategy of promoting conditions for a military coup.

One of their main disruption tactics has been blocking streets to create big traffic jams. That way, a relatively small number of demonstrators can create a big disruption if they pick the right streets to block. But their street blockades are often in the wealthier areas of cities, the areas from which most of those protesters are drawn. And so the brunt of the disruptions often falls disproportionately on the López/Machado faction's own wealthy base.

It's hard to guess what Capriles is doing at the moment, and he probably wants it that way. On the one hand, he's publicly disagreeing with the atajo strategy and the López/Machado faction. But he also wants to maintain his credibility among the opposition, so he's demanding López' release from prison and continues to put the blame for violence on the government, which at best is only partly plausible. And after last year's Presidential election which he lost narrowly to Nicolás Maduro, he encouraged a strategy of militant protest that looked a lot like the one López and Machado are currently following.

Oddly, Capriles just warned Argentina not to pursue similar policies to Maduro's. (?!) This story from Yahoo! Venezuela/iProfessional, Capriles: "Ojalá que la Argentina no siga el modelo fracasado que pretenden imponer por la fuerza en Venezuela" 02/25/2014, quotes Capriles as saying what's in the title, "I hope Argentina doesn't follow the failed model that they {Maduro's government} are trying to impose by force on Venezuela."

Does Capriles know about some new, gigantic oil reserve just discovered in Argentina that the rest of us don't?

While Argentina rejects the neoliberal economic model, it is pursuing a more diversified strategy, by necessity, than Venezuela. There is a case to be made that Venezuela suffers from some of the problems typical to petrostates - problems sometimes referred to as the "Dutch disease" - because the country's national economy is so heavily subject to the vagaries of the world oil market.

But speaking of Argentina, has this long, Spanish-language interview with Maduro on Sunday the 23rd available on their website, Venezuela: Entrevista a Nicolás Maduro 02/24/2014:



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Monday, February 24, 2014

A cultural news editor wants us to know what contempt he has for anyone not cheering for the far-right Venezuelan opposition

Someone should tell Daily Beast columnist Michael Moynihan "cultural news editor" that the Cold War ended 20-some years ago.

But if you did, he would probably call you a brainless Commie symp.

I say that because I just came across two columns by the cultural news editor on Venezuela: No Mas Democracia 02/19/2014 and Venezuela's Useful Idiots 02/24/2014.

The cultural news editor seems to be especially keen on exposing the scandalous attitude of anyone who doesn't agree with his hardline contempt for the current Venezuelan elected government. He opens the earlier column with this:

A few days after Venezuelan caudillo Hugo Chavez expired, his body saturated with cancer he believed was implanted in him by the CIA, I sat on an MSNBC panel encircled by academics sympathetic to the dead autocrat. Vastly outnumbered by halfwits and fellow travellers, I reached for the most conciliatory point available. “Chavez was no democrat," I muttered, after viewing clips of various silly pundits denouncing him as a dictator, "but words mean things." An authoritarian, yes, but he didn't quite rise to the definitional standard of dictator. “You can go to Venezuela, you can be in the opposition, you can read [opposition newspaper] El Nacional ...” And on and on I droned.

... But compared to my fellow guests, I was something of a counterrevolutionary, a wrecker, an ideological deviationist serving the interests of the bourgeoise. Or the CIA. Or USAID. A particularly radical panelist, one of those sad little political pilgrims always sniffing out the next Third World utopia, had argued in the days after Chavez's death that "the biggest problem Venezuela faced during his rule was not that Chávez was authoritarian but that he wasn't authoritarian enough."
Dude, since this was on national TV, it's okay to "name names." Or even put in a link to the panel discussion in question. That way, people can know who your are referencing.

The cultural news editor's second column complains that "All over the internet, one finds a seemingly inexhaustible supply of useful idiots and Sandinista nostalgists willing to contextualize the disastrous Bolivarian Revolution."

I'm not sure what the cultural news editor means here bybeing "willing to contextualize." Since he obviously thinks that's a bad thing. He only names one name, Belen Fernandez, who he says is a writer who on the Aljazeera network on the events in Venezuela, who outraged the cultural news editor by criticizing a Venezuelan critic of the government name Emiliana Duarte for whining about not finding the ingredients she needed for baking a cake at the supermarket one day. I guess the cultural news editor means that the Venezuelan government is pursuing a strategy of Don't Let Them Eat Cake, which sounds dictatorialish indeed! Less sensitive observers than the cultural news editor might note that there are no reports of serious food shortages, much less hunger riots, and that not being able to bake your favorite cake that weekend may not be sufficient grounds to overthrow a government. But I suppose they would be "useful idiots" too, in the eyes of the cultural news editor, anyway.

Apparently the Belen Fernandez column to which the cultural news editor refers is Towards another coup in Venezuela? 02/19/2014. The cultural news editor obviously was not persuaded by Fernandez' observation, "In addition to highlighting the sort of absurd hysterics that typify the Venezuelan opposition, the cake-baking anecdote constitutes less than persuasive evidence of the supposedly brutal tyranny under which Duarte and her socioeconomic cohorts are forced to reside."

There were other naughty people, too: the "benignly named Washington think tank Council on Hemispheric Affairs, whose 'experts' are frequently quoted in the mainstream media"; a self-identified 'human rights lawyer'" at the Huffington Post; and, a "pro-Chavez academic writing in The Nation." A sinister sounding bunch, no doubt, and they mightily displeased the cultural news editor.

And despite the cultural news editor's distresses at seeing the context discussed, for those of us not so obviously enlightened as he about daily events in Venezuela, this kind of context provided by Fernandez is worth knowing:

The opposition cites insecurity, food shortages, and inflation as factors driving the protests.

However, pinning the blame for all of Venezuela's ills on chavismo - the left-wing political ideology developed by Chavez and continued by Maduro - is transparently disingenuous. Or rather, it would be transparently disingenuous if the dominant international media were not intent on parroting opposition propaganda.

In 2010, for example, the New York Times horrified the world with the news that Venezuela under Chavez was deadlier than Iraq. As noted in Richard Gott's Hugo Chavez and the Bolivarian Revolution, "much of the violence stemmed from the police itself (the highest crime rates were registered in the states of Miranda, Tachira and Zulia, where opposition governors ruled and controlled the local police forces)".

Since such details complicate the vilification of Chavez and company, they're often deemed unworthy of reporting. So is the fact that Honduras - neoliberal lap dog of the US - happens to be far deadlier than Venezuela, Iraq, and every other nation on earth.
I also notice that Fernandez does not accept the Maduro government's claims of US instigation of the current events in absence of specific evidence. Gee, they just don't make useful idiots like they used to!

The naughty academic writing at The Nation seems to be George Ciccariello-Maher in #LaSalida? Venezuela at a Crossroads 02/22/2014. He's a political science professor at Drexel University who has published a book about Hugo Chavez and his movement. But the cultural news editor obviously knows what those academics are like and that you just cain't trust 'em.


The cultural news editor thinks it's self-evidently wrong for the academic Ciccariello-Maher that the current protests against Maduro's government "have far more to do with returning economic and political elites to power than with their downfall." But the cultural news editor doesn't actually tell us what may be wrong with the academic's analysis. This from Ciccariello-Maher's piece was informative for me and consistent with what I'm seeing reported in various places, including Venezuelan news outlets not aligned with the government:

The protests that have exploded across Venezuelan cities in recent days —whose most prevalent hashtag calls for #LaSalida, the departure of Maduro from power — have nothing to do with this arduous process of building a new society. While the protests are ostensibly about economic scarcity and insecurity — very real concerns, for the record — these do not explain why the protests have emerged now. Behind the scenes, the protests are a reflection of the weakness of the Venezuelan opposition, not its strength. Reeling from a serious electoral defeat in December’s local elections, old tensions have re-emerged, splintering the fleeting unity behind the presidential candidacy of Henrique Capriles Radonski who was defeated by Maduro last April. Amid the maneuvering so common to this opposition, more hard-line voices, impatient with the electoral game, have outflanked Capriles to the right: [Antonio] Ledezma, as well as María Corina Machado and Leopoldo López.

Rather than a breath of fresh air, the names are all too familiar, not only for their political histories but also because they represent the very thinnest sliver of Venezuela's upper crust. Machado is most notorious for having signed the "Carmona decree" endorsing the April 2002 coup against Chávez, and for her friendly 2005 sit-down with George W. Bush. But it is López who best exemplifies both the intransigence of this opposition as well as its halfhearted attempts to connect with the poor majority. The very picture of privilege — in a country where Chávez was considered by elites to be unacceptably dark-skinned — López was trained in the United States from prep school to Harvard’s Kennedy School, an elite scion if ever there was one.

The political party in which both López and Capriles cut their teeth — Primero Justicia — emerged at the intersection of corruption and foreign intervention: López would later be barred from public office for allegedly receiving funds from his mother, a state oil executive. Less deniable is the FOIA revelation that the party received significant injections of funding from US government ancillaries like the National Endowment for Democracy, USAID, and the International Republican Institute. López is no stranger to street violence, nor does he flinch at taking the extra-institutional route: during the 2002 coup — of which he has said he is "proud"—he led witch hunts to root out and arrest Chavista ministers amid a violent opposition mob. [my emphasis in bold]
I've discussed in earlier posts the split between Henrique Capriles, who nearly beat Maduro in last year's Presidential election, and the far-right López/Machado faction over the latter's strategy of "atajo" and "salida" that involves openly promoting "regime change" (as Machada tweeted just yesterday) in an immediate sense.

I wonder if the cultural news editor thinks Capriles is just another useful idiot, too.

This is also an observation of the academic Ciccariello-Maher worth noting:

Despite opposition claims of impunity, an official from the Sebin, the government intelligence agency, has been arrested for firing his weapon and the agency head has been sacked. Leaked conversations have suggested coup plots, and even López’s wife admitted on CNN that the Venezuelan government had acted to protect her husband’s life in the face of credible threats.
I wonder if the cultural news editor noticed.

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Sunday, February 23, 2014

Venezulan opposition this weekend

La Opinión (Los Angeles) carries and EFE report on the opposition rally led by Henrique Capriles on Saturday, Oposición realiza manifestaciones en Venezuela 02/22/2014. Capriles called for the release of and amnesty for student protesters that have been jailed, and explicitly for the release of Leopoldo López, the far-right leader who, along with María Corina Machado, is the main leader of the far-right group that is more-or-less openly attempting to create conditions for a coup against the elected chavista government of Nicolás Maduro.

As I've mentioned here before, Capriles has taken pains to distinguish his road of parliamentary electoral activity and peaceful protest from the López/Machada strategy of "atajo" (shortcut) which aims to force Maduro from office and replace his government with military rule. (All in the name of democracy, of course!)

And Capriles' public position still appears to be consistent with that position. In the speech Saturday, he called specifically on his supporters not to protest public at night and also to avoid blocking off streets, so as to minimize the possibility of violent confrontations with government forces and Maduro supporters. Obviously, these situations involved some very specific tactical calculations that are hard to judge from afar. But Capriles has a meeting scheduled with Maduro on Monday. And that also seems compatible with an intention to pursue a distinct course from that of the López/Machada faction.

On the other hand, he is specifically calling for the release of López. Since the charges against him seem to be general charges of plotting, calling for his release plausibly looks like a genuine human rights stand, even if it is politically convenient for Capriles. I haven't seen any specifics about the government charges against López. Deliberately planning acts of vandalism or violence would be illegal in the US and pretty much all other countries; but it's up to the Venezuelan government to prove those charges.

La Opinión/EFE also report that Capriles' demands also include a call on "humanitarian" grounds for the release of Iván Simonovis, who remains in prison after being convicted of responsibility for deaths in the course of the failed 2002 coup. (Point 3 in Capriles' list of demands in the NTN24 audio included by La Opinión) This isn't necessarily a demand a leader who is trying to distance himself from the coup-oriented strategy of a competing opposition group would be well-advised to stress in this situation.

And Capriles is still formally allied with López and Machada in the umbrella opposition group Mesa de la Unidad Democrática (MUD). So while Capriles is taking pains to follow a distinct path in the protest, one also cannot say that his break with the López/Machada pro-coup group is clean or complete in this situation.

However, the reporters doing the English-language stories on this really should start using this Internet invention and the Twitter machine and stuff a little more. Machada tweeted this morning: "Los estudiantes q arriesgan su vida saben q el régimen no cambiará sus politicas;de lo q se trata es de cambiar al régimen" ("The students who are risking their lives know that the regime will not change it's policies; what it is about is regime change.")


Capriles, meanwhile, posts today on his blog (Venezuela nos necesita a todos), speaking of his meeting with President Maduro scheduled for tomorrow: "Si este gobierno no sirve, si no sabe cómo resolver los problemas del país, debe venir otro que sí nos saque del caos donde éste nos metió. Pero eso no se logra a través de los atajos. A un gobierno débil los atajos le convienen." ("If this government is inadequate, if it doesn't know how to resolve the country's problems, it should bring in another that actually will get us out of the chaos in which this one has involved us. But this won't take place via shortcuts. Shortcuts are convenient for a weak government.") In the slogans of the moment, Capriles is clearly distancing himself here from the "atajo" (shortcut) strategy of immediate "regime change" via a coup against the current elected government that López and Machada are following. López also calls the strategy "la salida" (exit).

Capriles came very close to winning last year's Presidential election in Venezuela, where López was far behind Capriles in the contest for the opposition nomination. So this split is pretty basic to the current situation. Is it really too much for reporters doing English-language stories to, you know, read what the major players themselves there are saying about what they're doing?

None of this excuses human rights abuses by the Venezuelan government, of course. It's still important in understanding what's going on that the larger opposition group is promoting peaceful protest and parliamentary change, while a smaller hard-right group is openly promoting a coup. Maduro and his supporters aren't just making that part up.

This video from last week features Steve Ellner talking about the split in the opposition, Venezuelan Opposition Divided On Question of Regime Change The Real News 02/20/2014:



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