Showing posts with label republicans. Show all posts
Showing posts with label republicans. Show all posts

Thursday, February 04, 2010

Why the Democrats aren't hopeless

Because Republicans are still Republicans. The invaluable Gene Lyons sums it up well in The deficit blame game Salon 02/03/10:

If President Obama's recent face-to-face meeting with congressional Republicans had been a prizefight, they'd have stopped it: Obama by TKO. It was such a mismatch that Fox News, unofficial network of the GOP, basically conceded defeat by cutting away 20 minutes before it ended. Other networks showed it all.

Republicans appeared to make the elementary mistake of believing their own ... um, propaganda. Believe it or not, Obama's use of Teleprompters has convinced GOP stalwarts that he's kind of thick. I get frequent e-mails to that effect from people who marveled at the wit and wisdom of George W. Bush.

I know, I know. That's what they think, is all I'm saying.

House Republicans shouldn't have allowed the encounter to be televised. But then believing their own disinformation is basically what makes them Republicans.
As genuinely badly as the Democrats have been stumbling over their own unwillingness to be Democrats, the Republican Party has some amazingly unattractive features. Next time you see Senate Minority Leader Growling Mitch McConnell on TV, stop and listen to him a bit. If Hollywood casting were looking for a mean old man, they would pass on McConnell because he would seem so over the top in the role. A Party whose face to the public includes a character like that isn't in a completely enviable electoral position this year.

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Friday, October 23, 2009

"Bad American" nightmare

This is one of those conservative chain letters circulating that I get the impression that those who forward it don't necessarily read them that carefully. The person who sent me this one is a well-education professional who does complex finance work and is very good at it. This one came to me with the title "Bad American". This is the full text, interspersed with my comments:

I Am the Liberal-Progressive's Worst Nightmare.

I am an American.
Do conservatives really believe that the people who vote for Democrats - a majority - hate America? Most Americans hate America? How does that work?

I ride Harley Davidson Motorcycles and believe in American products.
Did I miss some new laws that prevents Democrats from riding motorcycles? Something tells me Harley doesn't want to market only to Republicans.

I believe the money I make belongs to me and my family, not some liberal governmental functionary, Democratic or Republican!
This sounds more anarchist than conservative to me. But couldn't we say the same thing with equal meaning (or lack thereof) about interest we pay on loans to private lenders, or obscene profits to insurance companies that provide lousy products, and many other such outrages in the "private sector"?

I think owning a gun doesn't make you a killer; it makes you a smart American.
I've met some real doofuses who own guns myself. But since no liberal I know of is calling for banning all private gun ownership, I'm not sure how this has anything to do with "liberals" or "progressives". Many of whom own guns and know how to use them.

I think being a minority does not make you noble or victimized, and does not entitle you to anything. Get over it!
The problem is, nobody whines about how victimized they are more than conservative white guys.

I believe that if you are selling me a Big Mac, you should do it in English.
McDonald's is a worldwide corporation. They typically have salespeople using the home language. But then businesses of all kinds in areas where they have lots of Spanish-speaking customers generally make higher profits if they have some Spanish-speaking sales staff available. Businesses making profits is something un-conservative now?

I believe everyone has a right to pray to his or her God when and where they want to.
Who disagrees?

My heroes are John Wayne, Babe Ruth, Roy Rogers, and Willie G. Davidson, who makes the awesome Harley Davidson Motorcycles.
So...???

I don't hate the rich.. I don't pity the poor.
Who's asking you to?

I know wrestling is fake and I don't waste my time watching or arguing about it.
I guess I missed the great debate in Congress over the authenticity of wrestling. And, actually, there are events like college and Olympic wrestling that are not fake.

I've never owned a slave, or was a slave. I haven't burned any witches or been persecuted by the Turks, and neither have you! So, shut up already.
Which has what to do with what? If you're Kurdish or Armenian, though, you might actually have been persecuted by Turks. I'm just sayin'.

I believe if you don't like the way things are here, go back to where you came from and change your own country!

This is AMERICA. We like it the way it is!

If you were born here and don't like it you are free to move to any Socialist country that will have you.
What about Glenn Beck's Tea Party crowd, who seem more upset than anyone these days about "the way things are here" in AMERICA. Where do they go? They say that don't like socialism, even though I'm not sure they know what that is.

I want to know which church is it, exactly, where the Reverend Jesse Jackson preaches, where he gets his money, and why he is always part of the problem and not the solution.

Can I get an AMEN on that one?
I'm sure you can e-mail Jesse Jackson and ask him to recommend a congregation to you.

I also think the cops have the right to pull you over if you're breaking the law, regardless of what color you are.
Who doesn't?

And, no, I don't mind having my face shown on my driver's license.

I think it's good.... And I'm proud that 'God' is written on my money.
I apparently missed both the campaign against having photos on driver's licenses and the deep connection between that and have God mentioned on currency. I'm kind of out of it, it seems.

I think if you are too stupid to know how a ballot works, I don't want you deciding who should be running the most powerful nation in the world for the next four years.
If owning a gun is a sign of being smart, that should be pretty easy verify whether someone is smart enough to vote. There might be downsides to having everyone show up at the polls packing heat. But I guess freedom isn't free, as they say.

I dislike those people standing in the intersections trying to sell me stuff or trying to guilt me into making 'donations' to their cause.

Get a Job and do your part!
Lots of people would like very much to do that and can't. And those selling and canvassing gigs are jobs for quite a lot of people.

I believe that it doesn't take a village to raise a child, it takes two parents.
I just did realize anarchy was so popular among conservatives. But it's not exactly encouraging to single parents, many of whom vote Republican and are generally conservative.

I believe 'illegal' is illegal no matter what the lawyers think.
Not necessarily good advice to follow if you're ever accused of a serious crime.

I believe the American flag should be the only one allowed in AMERICA!
No state flags? No Christian flags? No Confederate flags? That's not likely to be too popular among today's Republicans.

I'm kind of partial to the notion of having a law like this, or one that bans burning the American flag, as long as it's accompanied by a law making it a felony to display the American flag unless you can document that you voted in the last election in your precinct.

If this makes me a BAD American, then yes, I'm a BAD American.

If you are a BAD American too, please forward this to everyone you know.

We want our country back!
Wait, I thought if you were a malcontent, then you should move to some other country. I'm confused.

WE LIVE IN THE LAND OF THE FREE,

ONLY BECAUSE OF THE BRAVE!
A sentiment no politician these days would likely argue with. But it is a sign of the idolatry of all things military of which we see far too much in the US. (This type slogan typically refers to the military protecting the country. You know, the military paid by tax dollars that rightly belong to the people earning their money in the first place and should never ever be taken from them by the gubment.) Along with the military, things like the Constitution, the courts, elected legislatures and, yes, citizen activists collecting money for causes also play indispensable roles.

So does a functioning press, although we hardly have that at the moment here.

Unfortunately for these malcontents, I'm just not sure there's any other country where you can go to where parents have complete control of their children and the only ejjication you need is owning a gun. Afghanistan, maybe. The badlands of Pakistan, maybe. But I'm pretty sure you won't be able to order in English at the McDonald's there!

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Saturday, September 12, 2009

Obama, the Democrats - and a new progressive ascendency?

We're almost eight months into the Obama Presidency now, with a solid Democratic majority in both Houses of Congress. There hasn't been an opportunity like this to enact major progressive reforms since 1965. I'm still hopeful, even very hopeful. But I'm also trying to be realistic. My current framework for understanding the partisan political situation in the US at the moment runs something like this.

The severe breakdown in quality of our national press is the most serious weakness of American democracy.

The Democratic Party in practice is a center-right Party. (Just to be clear: I'm not in favor of a third-party movement.)

The Democratic base is composed of labor; people who want government to open access to jobs, education, healthcare; liberal activist groups like civil-rights and environmentalist groups.

The Democratic leaders are largely under the sway of the Party's corporate wing rather than its popular wing.

The Republican Party is a reactionary Party. Calling it right-reactionary, as in conservative-to-reactionary, would be generous.

The Republicans have been operating for decades with a plutocrat-pulpit alliance. In 2009, that means an alliance of corporate advocates of what James Galbraith call the Predator State with with the Christian Right. The perpetually predicted split of the two factions remains perpetually beyond the horizon.

The Republican Party is operating both with radical ideas (e.g., support of torture, Cheney's Unitary Executive theory for [Republican] Presidents) and fanatical attitudes. The two don't have to go together. But with today's Republican Party, they do.

Moderate-to-conservative pragmatic goals like humane immigration reform, enforcement of anti-torture laws and Internet neutrality, should be possible under a federal government dominated by center-right Democrats.

The outcome of the health-care debate will show whether reforms that are more explicitly liberal in the American context, reforms that are opposed by the corporate wing of the Democratic Party such as health-care reform and the Employee Free Choice Act (EFCA), will be very difficult to achieve vs. extremely difficult. If health care reform is defeated - or, what amounts to the same thing, if a deeply flawed version is passed - prospects for a genuinely liberal direction of policy and politics will be badly damaged.

The practical debate in foreign policy right now is less between liberals and conservatives than between varieties of pragmatists, on one side, and the Cheneyist-nationalists and neocons on the other. A lot of real progress that liberals would be happy to see can be made with a genuinely pragmatic foreign policy with which the corporate wing of the Democratic Party can live, even if they're not especially enthusiastic about them.

The American military is just plain too big; as long as the US spends something like half the military budgets of the entire planet, even leaders of good will be excessively tempted to rely on war as a solution to foreign policy problems. And the military that is there for leaders of good will can also be used by Bushes and Cheneys. Under a center-right Democratic Party, ending the Iraq and Afghanistan Wars and cutting out military boondoggles like Star Wars are very possible achievements. (Keeping in mind that possible doesn't mean easy.)

Even most Democratic liberals aren't ready to challenge the kind of deeper-seated problems of militarism and triumphalism in foreign policy that people like Andrew Bacevich and Tom Englehardt have been critically analyzing so well in recent years.

Nuclear arms-control and disarmament, and dealing with the very real problems of global climate change, are critical issues for the future of humanity. In theory, those could be consensus goals across the mainstream political spectrum. In practice, without a relatively long period of liberal political ascendancy, it's hard for me to foresee how the US can achieve what's necessary. A Republican Party that is seriously committed to solving those problems is not the Republican Party we have right now. And I can't see that a center-right Democratic Party that trembles in fear of being accused of liberalism is ever going to be able to do so either.

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Wednesday, July 15, 2009

Not writing off Sarah Palin too soon

Beliefnet's Steve Waldman makes a pretty decent case on why it would be premature to write Sarah Palin off for the 2012 Republican Presidential nomination in Why I'm Bullish on Sarah Palin's Prospects Huffington Post 07/15/09. He writes (emphasis in original):

Religoius [sic] conservatives will be as important if not more so in the 2012 Republican primaries. Evangleicals acocunted for a bigger percentage of John McCain's general election vote than of George Bush's meaning that these voters have become amore central part of the party coalition. Two of the three early states (Iowa and South Carolina) have large evangelical populations, the third (New Hampshire) liking "mavericky" types.
Rick Pearlstein writes ont he same topic in Beyond the Palin 07/10/09 (07/20/09 issue). He describes the current state of the tension between the country club and Christianist wings of the Republican Party. He perceives the tensions between the two wings to be increasing:

The conservative intellectuals [the country club wing] once were able to work together more effectively with the conservative unwashed [the fundis]. Now, more and more, their recent irritation renders them akin to the Stalinist commissars mocked by poet Bertolt -Brecht, who asked if they might "dissolve the people/And elect another." The bargain the right has offered the downwardly mobile, culturally insecure traditionalist - give us your votes, and we will give you existential certitudes in a world that seems somehow to have gone crazy - is looking less like good politics all the time.
He may be right. But various political analysts have been predicting that the alliance between the Wall Street and Main Street wings of the Party will soon break down for nearly three decades now. And it hasn't happened yet.

Here is Thomas Edsall, whose record of political analysis has been highly dubious, writing in The Political Impasse New York Review of Books 03/26/1987 (behind subscription):

The schisms facing the Republicans in the post-Reagan years appear likely to be at least as serious [as those of the Democrats]. The conservative wing of the GOP is full of discontent with Reagan but it has been unable to coalesce around a candidate, and it has wavered at various times between Representative Jack Kemp, Patrick J. Buchanan, and the television evangelist Pat Robertson. Vice President George Bush is running into increasing difficulty as he attempts to become an ecumenical nominee supported by both Reagan conservatives and by the GOP's moderate, East Coast faction. Senator Robert Dole, in turn, is trying to revive the Taft wing of the Republican party, for which the principal issue is the danger of the federal deficit, the same deficit that has made the Reagan economic and military program possible. Dole seeks, moreover, to expand his constituency with support for such liberal programs as food stamps and aid to the handicapped, as well as for such right-of-center causes as opposition to abortion and to gun control, and conservative appointments to the federal bench.

... the continuing dependence on business money has damaged Republican efforts to promote a more populist image.

... Another Republican alliance coming under strain is that between the country-club Republicans who have controlled the party organizations in most states, and the increasingly restless conservative Christian political community. This alliance has been of prime importance to the GOP: between 1976 and 1984, white fundamentalist Christians accounted for a shift of at least eight million votes to Republican candidates, according to The New York Times–CBS polls. No other single group in those years did more to create a strong Republican coalition.

Conservative Christian political leaders, including Pat Robertson, have, however, become increasingly intent on gaining direct political power. They are sponsoring campaigns to take over numerous state and local Republican party organizations, and running their own candidates in GOP primaries. For example, in Indiana in 1986, fundamentalist Christian candidates defeated candidates backed by the party for Republican nominations in two congressional districts, severely embarrassing one of the strongest state Republican parties in the country. Similarly, fights between Christian groups and party regulars occurred in Republican congressional contests in South Carolina and Tennessee. In three out of four of these districts, the Republican would normally have been favored to win. In fact, Democrats won all four districts. Republican party regulars, dismayed by such activities, are having increasing difficulty maintaining control over nominations.

The GOP is in the midst of a balancing act, trying to hold together a great many divergent groups—including well-to-do East Coast Protestants, anticommunist Asian and Hispanic refugees, southern rednecks drawn to the hard right views of Jesse Helms, the new entrepreneurs of Wall Street and Silicon Valley, urban Catholics, embattled farmers, and evangelical Baptists. For the Republicans the arms-for-hostages scandal could not have emerged at a worse time—just when they were beginning to plan for the 1988 elections. No matter what the political atmosphere may be less than two years from now, the scandal has impaired Reagan's ability to hold together the GOP coalition by his personal popularity while waiting for a successor to emerge. The controversy has also clearly damaged the ability of the Republican party to recruit strong candidates for 1988. And it threatens to weaken the ability of the three Republican party committees to continue to raise the vast amounts of money useful in smoothing over ideological and economic conflicts within the Republican hierarchy. [my emphasis]
Obama's team is on the right track in highlighting the extent to which the Republican Party is in reality led by Rush Limbaugh and other radio ranters. If there is a well-hidden faction of moderates within the Republicans Party, let them show themselves by lining up clearly against the Christianists on an issue of importance. The country club Republicans are likely to be riding the Christianist tiger for quite a while yet.

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Tuesday, July 14, 2009

Encounters with conservatives

I've had some interesting little encounters with conservatives the last few days, some in person and some in cyberspace. I thought I would share a couple of stories.

You're one, what am I?

That phrase is used to describe a common style of conservative conversation. Or argumentation, though it's hard to distinguish the two sometimes. And it's a technique that I recognize, but find it hard to describe succinctly. The basic concept is, "I'm going to call you names but I'm not going to admit to holding the opinion I'm defending."

The occasion of this instance was a Facebook posting linking this blog post: Obama as Chancellor of Weimar America by Joerg Wolf Atlantic Review 07/12/09. Joerg's blog is a really good one. The subject of that post was the story on which I had also blogged, Sen. Jim DeMint's Know-Nothing comment about how Germany had been a "social democracy" just before the Second World War. The comment in question was from a talk DeMint was giving hawking his new book Saving Freedom, which I'm sure will become a standard political science work overnight [NOT!]. The distinguished Senator from South Carolina said:

Part of what we’re trying to do in “Saving Freedom” is just show that where we are, we’re about where Germany was before World War II where they became a social democracy. You still had votes but the votes were just power grabs like you see in Iran, and other places in South America, like Chavez is running down in Venezuela. People become more dependent on the government so that they’re easy to manipulate. And they keep voting for more government because that’s where their security is. When our immigrants get here, they’re worried, because they see it happening here.
Quickie history: during the Weimar Republic of 1919-33, the Social Democratic Party (SPD) and the Catholic Center Party were the two most important "Weimar parties". Meaning that they actually supported the democratic system of government. The Nazis, other rightwing nationalist parties, conservatives and (for different reasons) the Communist Party (KPD) didn't really support the Weimar regime. In the last couple of years of its existence, Weimar was really only a semi-parliamentary government, run in practice by conservative Chancellors operating under the authority of Presidential decrees.

When Hitler first became Chancellor at the end of January 1933, there was one last parliamentary election held in March. The Communists were banned and the election took place in an atmosphere of repression, but the Nazis still failed to win an outright majority. When Hitler proposed the Enabling Law that gave him dictatorial powers, the SPD was the only party in Parliament to vote against it. (There were some individual exceptions in the vote.) In 1939, when the Second World War began, the SPD had been outlawed in Germany for over six years. It's active members operated underground or in exile.

Not least of the problems of DeMint's idiotic identification of the Nazi regime with "social democracy" is that the Germans who actively took risks in favor of democracy during the Third Reich, like the active Social Democrats, deserve at least enough respect for people not to falsely identify them with the Nazis.

Here is the interchange I had with a Facebook poster calling himself Richard Avery:

Bruce Miller at 11:05pm July 12
I really wonder if DeMint is such a dim bulb that he can't tell the difference among social democracy, Nazism, fascism, socialism and Iran's brand of Shi'a Islamism. Or if he's just trying to help Republican Party leader Rush Limbaugh and FOX News dumb down as much of the public as they can. Either way, it's irresponsible for him to be talking trash like this.

Richard Avery at 7:55am July 13
Senators have a long history of making intemperate statements. It was Democratic Senator Dick Durbin who compared treatment of prisoners at Guantanamo as akin to something that "happened by [sic] Nazis, Soviets in their Gulags, or some madman regime like Pol Pot." Was this Durbin's attempt to make Democrats dumber than they already were?

Bruce Miller at 10:57am July 13
Since Durbin didn't stand by his own statement, I wouldn't bother to defend him. Still, I've never been able to fathom why he thought *Holocaust survivors* would be offended by his opposing *torture*.

But Durbin at least knew something about the regimes to which he was referring. Anyone who thinks that Germany was a "social democracy" - or any other kind of democracy - in 1939 either knows nothing about the history of Nazism, or is trying to pretend that Nazism was some kind of democracy. Either way, it's ridiculous. But if South Carolina voters like politicians that clueless, it's likely they will have a chance to vote for more of them, including DeMint.

Richard Avery at 2:16pm July 13
The main regime Durbin was referring to was the United States. While he eventually backed off of his statement because of extreme criticism did he really think US personnel were acting like Nazis, Soviet Gulag guards, or Pol Pot's supporters?

As far as voting for clueless politicians is concerned, that is something that voters from all parties in all 50 states get to do too frequently.

Bruce Miller at 2:40pm July 13
Just curious, Richard. Do you actually have an opinion about the topic of Joerg's entry, i.e., what Jim DeMint said a few days ago?

Richard Avery at 8:48pm July 13
I would not have used DeMint's rhetoric because it is counterproductive, but It is no worse than what Democrats said about Bush for eight years. I am concerned that Obama is attempting to increase government control of the economy which will have a negative impact on the country and that he will use this control to reward friends and punish enemies.

I also think he would like to subvert the election process to increase the likelihood of Democratic victories. Funding ACORN, rejecting proposals to use social security numbers and drivers licenses for identification purposes, and dismissal of a case of voter intimidation against Black Panthers in Philadelphia after the case had been won all make it easier for Democrats to rig elections.
Avery made a classic "You're one, what am I?" pitch there. That's standard OxyContin style. If a Republican get caught saying something stupid or worse, Rush and his imitators quickly come up with a "But, but, Democrats do it too" example. But by his last comment, he was clearly agreeing with DeMint, but still ambiguously distanced himself from the actual comment: "I would not have used DeMint's rhetoric because it is counterproductive."

It's similar in a way to playing tennis with someone for the first time and telling them what your own level is according to amateur tennis standards and they say, "Oh, I'm not that good." And then why you play them, you quickly see they are very good. I always wondered in those situations, what's the point of pretending? If you were playing for money and it was a hustle of some kind, I could at least see a point to it. But if it's just a casual game and you're going to quickly see the level at which they are playing, what's the point of the false modesty? It's like they're trying to be devious for the sake of being devious but not doing a good job of it.

A phony fainting spell



This is from a recent television appearance by Marcy Wheeler where she was talking about legal accountability for the torture perpetrators, where our delicate press corps - and pro-torture bloggers - were shocked, shocked and offended and mortified because she reference the Republicans' political jihad against Bill Clinton and used the phrase "blow job". Our press is still obsessing over those blow jobs. Chris Matthews and Maureen Dowd will apparently never stop fantasizing about them. But they were horrified at hearing the phrase "blow job" uttered on the air. Outrage over torture, tsk-tsking at the Cheney family or anyone else for defended sick sadistic torture on the air, explanations of the legal obligation to prosecute torture perpetrators? Not so much. Not much at all, really. Jamison Foser comments on this phenomenon in MSNBC's bizarre social norms: Sex bad, murder funny County Fair blog 07/14/09.

Marcy herself, chagrined over the press corps' moronic reaction, "I don't know whether my efforts today helped or hurt those [accountability] efforts. Next time I'll just repeat, endlessly, torture torture torture. It'll probably cause the same kind of outrage."

Eavesdropping on Republicans

I was browsing in a used bookstore on Sunday and overheard the couple who were apparently the owners chatting with another like-minded couple. They were evidently Republicans who were embarrassed by Sarah Palin being one of the main public faces of their Party. An understandable feeling, no doubt.

One of them bragged about having sent an e-mail to her "most intelligent" friends to complain about Palin. And one expressed enthusiasm for Peggy Noonan's recent criticism of Palin. Anyone who considers Bush-worshipper Peggy Noonan a sober analyst for the "most intelligent" - or even the least intelligent - is really in a bad way, I'd have to say.

Now, I'd love to believe in pretty fantasies, like the tooth fairy and moderate Republicans. But I found myself thinking of how phony they were, talking their Country Club Republicans jive, pretending they didn't share the unsophisticated viewpoint of a Christian Right yayhoo like the one Sarah Palin portrays in her public image. I couldn't help but think that they would be great enthusiasts for Brother Jeb, who talks vaguely about upgrading the Party's image while defending that same positions that Palin herself takes.

But check out the straight-line oil lobby position Palin takes in this op-ed in the Washington Post, The 'Cap And Tax' Dead End 07/14/09, which the OxyContin crowd somehow imagine is part of the Liberal Press Conspiracy So Vast: . Do the more "sophisticated" Republicans like Jeb Bush and Mitt Romney stand for anything different than this?

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Friday, July 10, 2009

Jeb's Esquire interview


The text of the interview that our next Republican President former Florida government and current leading hope of the Bush dynasty, Jeb Bush, did for Esquire is now online: Jeb Bush: The Future of the Republican Party 07/08/09. The interviewer is conservative pundit Tucker Carlson.

Our next Republican President Jeb is pretty explicitly saying that he's trying to promote what another Bush dynasty member might have called a "compassionate conservative" marketing strategy for the same Predator State strategy his brother and Dick Cheney practiced for eight years. He basically says he's glad the OxyContin radio screamers are doing what they are doing, but he wants Republican elected officials to project a more restrained and dignified image in public places.

He's about as explicit as it gets in saying that the Republicans' electoral troubles are not in substance or policy but are rather a matter of packaging, messaging, marketing:

Conservatives can win, can draw people toward our cause with the proper language and the proper ideas. I don't think that conservatism has been rejected in the United States. I don't believe it. ...

I don't think all is lost. The country is a center-right country. The problem has been that conservatives in positions of responsibility, particularly in the Congress, lost their way. And in general conservatism has gotten a little nostalgic and less focused on the here and now, and on the future. I'm a huge Ronald Reagan fan. The Republican primary was almost all about Ronald Reagan: Who was the heir to Ronald Reagan? Well, I mean, Ronald Reagan would be talking about ideas, would be talking about broad principles, would be talking about issues, more than what we heard in the primaries. The world is radically different than it was in the 1980s, dramatically different. ...

I don't think there's any seismic shift. The Democrats have won on tactics. ... In fact, [Obama] basically won the tax debate, which is breathtaking if you think about it. Cutting taxes is generally considered a center-right idea, not a center-left or left idea. He made it appear like McCain was going to raise taxes, which was unfair, but there was no response back. When there was an ideological component, it was generally centrist or even center-right. Had he said what he was going to do as a candidate, [Obama] would have lost. [my emphasis]
That's the "compassionate conservative" posture that they famously compassionate George W. Bush used in his Presidential candidacy in 1999-2000. Say things like, "The world is radically different than it was in the 1980s, dramatically different," that your press admirers can pick up on to say, now here's a man with fresh ideas and a new vision. But for policy, stick to the same old boilerplate slogans like in this interview: "What's the alternative? The alternative is to take time-tested practices and convert them to the world we live in. Which means you're going to cut taxes and cut spending."

Got that? Our next Republican President Jeb understands that the world has changed radically in the three decades since Reagan successfully ran for President on a program of cutting taxes and cutting spending. And so we need a radically new message for these very changed circumstances: "cut taxes and cut spending."

Our next Republican President Jeb is also a climate change denier, like virtually all of his Party:

Barack Obama would not have gotten elected if he'd let us in on his secret plan prior to the election. He would not have gotten elected if he'd said, "... My idea is to create a massive cap-and-trade system [based on the idea] that CO2 is [a] pollutant and we need to tax it in a massive way to reduce greenhouse-gas emissions." ...

[Q:]Do you believe global warming is primarily man-made?

I'm a skeptic. I'm not a scientist. I think the science has been politicized. I would be very wary of hollowing out our industrial base even further... It may be only partially man-made. It may not be warming by the way. The last six years we've actually had mean temperatures that are cooler. I think we need to be very cautious before we dramatically alter who we are as a nation because of it. [my emphasis in italics]
Media Matters has been addressing this particular talking point of the climate change deniers highlighted in bold, e.g., Media promote claims of global cooling despite overwhelming consensus to the contrary 03/30/09.

The global-warming-denial scam uses a similar approach to the industry-friendly Tobacco Institute, which presents research findings on the health effects of tobacco whose only purpose is to create an impression that the scientific/medical consensus on the matter is somehow "in dispute". Creationists use a similar method in opposing the entire concept of evolution, the existence of which is not in scientific dispute. But by raising pseudoscientific objections to it, the creationists try to leave the impression that a scientific controversy is there which doesn't exist. And this creation of phony controversies is accompanied by a denigration of science, framed as opposition to "dogmatic" science that defends elitist notions like evolution in some kind of more-or-less conspiratorial attempt to bamboozle the regular folks.

Our next Republican President Jeb plays directly to that brand of Republican Know-Nothingism in his comment, "I'm a skeptic. I'm not a scientist." The contrast between "scientist" and "skeptic" is a classic example of conservative up-is-down thinking. And also of the Christian fundamentalist outlook, which has always been obsessed with pitching their arguments against science in pseudoscientific terms and claiming that it's science and scientists who are the dogmatists taking things on blind faith, not their own form of the Christian faith and its practitioners .

This kind of pitch has a lot of appeal for the Republican base. And it's the kind of thing that our sad excuse for a national press can be persuaded represents plain-spokenness and a downhome touch. Time recently ran an article about Sarah Palin that shows how easily our press can turn their currently-prevailing Palin-is-a-dummy narrative into Palin-speaks-the-language-of-the-ordinary-people narrative. In fact, this Time piece adopts the latter approach and is downright adoring in tone. Their praise of Palin's Know-Nothingism could also apply to the type that Our next Republican President Jeb uses in his Esquire interview.

The Outsider: Where Is Sarah Palin Going Next? by David Von Drehle and Jay Newton-Small Time Online 07/09/09:

... Palin's unconventional step [announcing she will step down from the Alaska governorship] speaks to an ingrained frontier skepticism of authority — even one's own. Given the plunging credibility of institutions and élites, that's a mood that fits the Palin brand. Résumés ain't what they used to be; they count only with people who trust credentials — a dwindling breed. The mathematics Ph.D.s who dreamed up economy-killing derivatives have pretty impressive résumés. The leaders of congressional committees and executive agencies have decades of experience — at wallowing in red ink, mismanaging economic bubbles and botching covert intelligence.

If ever there has been a time to gamble on a flimsy résumé, ever a time for the ultimate outsider, this might be it. "We have so little trust in the character of the people we elected that most of us wouldn't invite them into our homes for dinner, let alone leave our children alone in their care," writes talk-show host Glenn Beck in his book Glenn Beck's Common Sense, a pox-on-all-their-houses fusillade at Washington. Dashed off in a fever of disillusionment with those in power, Beck's book is selling like vampire lit, with more than 1 million copies in print. [my emphasis]
I don't know exactly how Beck's book has been sold. But it's not unusual for the wingnut-welfare system of Republican foundations and think tanks to boost the early sales of favored conservative books by placing large initial orders and using the books as gifts, or returning some of them later to be remaindered. Also, can even Time reporters imagine that Beck's highly partisan, rightwing Republican schtick is a "pox-on-all-their-houses" posture?

But he also does his "compassionate conservative" feint to praise the value of expertise in the context of foreign policy:

I think it's okay to have a deeper understanding of things. I think it's okay to talk in three-syllable words. The world we're living in is incredibly complex. And simplifying things to the point where you're misunderstanding where we are as a nation isn't going to help people overcome their fears or give them hope that they can achieve great things. I don't get inspired by shameless populism.
Palin hits similar themes to those of our next Republican President Jeb; from the Time article:

Outside her family's Dillingham smokehouse, Palin lays out a robust indictment of the Obama agenda. "President Obama is growing government outrageously, and it's immoral and it's uneconomic," she says. "The debt that our nation is incurring, trillions of dollars that we're passing on to our kids, expecting them to pay off for us, is immoral and doesn't even make economic sense. So his growth-of-government agenda needs to be ratcheted back, and it's going to take good people who have the guts to stand up to him."

She continues. The cap-and-trade energy plan "is going to drive the cost of consumer goods and the cost of energy so extremely high." Democratic health-care proposals, she says, look increasingly like the ideas that McCain proposed during the campaign. [This characterization by the writers doesn't seem to reflect the Palin quote that immediately follows.] "One thing reporters aren't asking the Administration is — it's such a simple question, and people around here in the real world, outside of Washington, D.C., want reporters to ask — President Obama, how are you going to pay for this one- or two- or three-trillion-dollar health-care plan? How are you going to pay off the stimulus package, those borrowed dollars? How are you going to pay for so many things that you are proposing and you are implementing? Americans deserve to know."
Our next Republican President Jeb would apparently like to continue his brother's work in attempting to abolish Social Security and Medicare:

It was, to the extent that my brother was unable to get the Congress to go along with meaningful entitlement reform, although he tried, which by the way the Republicans were not supportive of. It was because we fought a war, and we had to build a homeland-defense structure that didn't exist. But I think my brother gets a bad rap about the general idea that there were massive amounts of spending beyond those two things.
National security, in his view, is endangered by Medicare:

The interest on the debt, and Medicare alone, will weaken our country to the point where we're not going to have the same influence that we need to have, or should have, or want to have in the world.
And in case anyone thinks that the Catholic former Governor of Florida is going to be less Chrisitianist than his brother as President, he spells out how the Republican Party has to deal with its sins. No, not the torture program, not unjust war, not the Katrina disaster, not reckless disregard of the needs of our citizens, but the sin of losing the 2008 election to the Democrats:

In this interim period, we have to pay for our sins and show some humility.

[Q:] What are those sins?
We didn't advocate our positions well enough to win.

We're all sinners under God's watchful eye. There's a road to redemption. But the road to redemption requires some humility and some patience. To campaign on these ideas is a good way to do it. It's not about a person's ambition. It's about the power of these ideas. And they need to be developed thoughtfully, with the input of a whole lot of people and the advice of a whole lot of people. It doesn't have to be in Washington. It can grow organically... I'm going to be involved as best I can.
A glimpse at the future envisioned for us by our next Republican President Jeb Bush.

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Thursday, July 09, 2009

Jim DeMint

South Carolina Sen. Jim DeMint thinks Germany was a "social democracy" just prior to the Second World War. Which he apparently thinks is kind of like Iran and Venezuela and being dependent on the gubment. Go figure.

No, it doesn't make jack for sense: DeMint: America is ‘Where Germany Was Before World War II’ by David Weigel Washington Independent 07/09/09.

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Thursday, May 07, 2009

The sorrows of the Republican Party


Barbara O’Brien at her Mahablog took the occasion of Arlen Specter's switch to the Democratic Party to muse on the state of the Republican Party in What Do They Expect? 04/29/09:

Most political parties exist to represent some part of public opinion. But today’s GOP drives away any part of the public that doesn’t represent its opinion.

In many ways, IMO, the Republican Party is acting like an apocalyptic cult — a small number of true believers waiting for some Big Cataclysmic Event that’s going to change everything, to their advantage. For that reason, present reality doesn’t interest them, because present reality is just a temporary aberration (which it may be, but not in the way they think). Thus, movement conservatives brush off opinion polls that show their positions to be wildly unpopular. They don’t need to worry about election losses, shrinking party membership, an aging political base, or senior senators who jump ship. They don’t need to change with the times. They’ll be vindicated when the Mother Ship arrives. You’ll see.

And they must truly believe in the Event, because they’re betting everything on it. In 2000 they still were shrewd enough to market Dubya as a moderate — a “compassionate conservative” who liked to be photographed surrounded by smiling black children. Now they aren’t even pretending to make adjustments to political reality.

Which brings me to the question — what do they expect? What do they think is to happen that will turn the world back upright (as they see it) and put them on top? [my emphasis]
Her comment makes me think that the seeming bewilderment of the Republican Party in the early months of the Obama era may get back to what is their model of that Event: the 9/11 attacks. The shock of that attack allowed the Republican Party to go wild with their wars, their torture program, their massive domestic spying, thier "culture war" passions, their corruption of the Justice Department including segregation-style voter-suppression, their disregard of treaties and international law and economic regulations. And it allowed them to trash their enemies - Democrats first, The Terrorists second, third or fourth - as cowards, traitors, surrender monkeys, enemies of America, French, degenerates, etc.

Emotionally, maybe a lot of them just can't believe that their day in the sun on the Dark Side is over.

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Tuesday, April 14, 2009

About that "Next Attack"

If there is another major terrorist attack on the United States, especially if it's from Muslim terrorists, the Somali pirate incident of the last week gave us a good preview of what we can expect in terms of solidarity and "national unity" from today's authoritarian Republican Party. At least if it happens while a Democratic President is in office.

Juan Cole (Informed Comment 04/14/09) on Glenn Beck's frivolous attacks on the Obama administration successful handling of the hostage situation:

What kind of person makes fun of the professionals of the US Navy and the FBI while they are trying to do their jobs in saving a true American hero? This kind of snark is not patriotic or manly. It is just a little girl's hissy fit masquerading as macho.
And a much-magnified version of that is exactly what we can expect from the Republican Party in the event of another major terrorist attack on the US.
Of course, the rightwing radical pundit Glenn Beck wasn't alone in his whining:

Obama avoided posturing and talking like a cowboy about the pirates in order to avoid complicating a hostage crisis and endangering the life of the hostage. Obama took heat for his silence, but he took it like a man. Behind the scenes, he received 17 separate briefings.

At exactly the same time that the deft young president authorized lethal force, one of McCain's advisers, the far rightwing pundit Ralph Peters, was ridiculing Obama as ineffectual and clueless ...
Dave Neiwert comments on the same phenomenon in Right-wingers who hit 'President Pantywaist' have egg on their faces after U.S. forces killed pirates Crooks and Liars 04/13/09.

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Monday, March 09, 2009

The Republicans' "socialist" slogan


Eugene Debs: He actually was a Socialist

It's been hard not to notice that the Republicans have been frantically accusing Obama and his programs with of "socialist". Rightwing commentators have been sounding even more like drooling-at-the-mouth Birchers, calling Obama a Marxist, a radical communist, a Marxist-Leninist, a Bolshevik and so forth.

On the most obvious level, they are caricatures of themselves in doing that. And it's pretty obvious on the face of it that they are just slinging accusations to try to associate Obama's administration with something most American voters would tend to regard as "bad stuff". And they are sleazy accusations.

But now, the "quality" press steps up and incorporates this notion into their own regular usage, specifically the New York Times in Obama’s Interview Aboard Air Force One 03/07/09:

Q. The first six weeks have given people a glimpse of your spending priorities. Are you a socialist as some people have suggested?

A. You know, let’s take a look at the budget – the answer would be no.

Q. Is there anything wrong with saying yes?

A. Let’s just take a look at what we’ve done. We’ve essentially said that, number one, we’re going to reduce non-defense discretionary spending to the lowest levels in decades. ...

What we have done is in a couple of critical areas that we have put off action for a very long time, decided that now is the time to ask. One is on health care. ...

The second area is on energy, which we’ve been talking about for decades. Now, in each of those cases, what we’ve said is, on our watch, we’re going to solve problems that have weakened this economy for a generation. And it’s going to be hard and it’s going to require some costs. But if you look on the revenue side what we’re proposing, what we’re looking at is essentially to go back to the tax rates that existed during the 1990s when, as I recall, rich people were doing very well. In fact everybody was doing very well. We have proposed a cap and trade system, which could create some additional costs, but the vast majority of that we want to give back in the form of tax breaks to the 95 percent of working families.

So if you look at our budget, what you have is a very disciplined, fiscally responsible budget, along with an effort to deal with some very serious problems that have been put off for a very long time. ...
So the dirty blogging hippies will now have to start paying more attention ourselves to this political cuss-word and its variants, it seems. Some are starting already.

Dave Neiwert writes about the hysterical Glenn Beck's raving about "isms" on his FOX News program in Glenn "McCarthy" Beck tries to link Communists to Obama, but they don't cooperate Crooks and Liars 03/05/09.

And Hullabaloo's dday takes a particularly interesting crack at the current use of the "Obama is a socialist/Marxist/Bolshevik" slogan in "Is There Anything Wrong With Saying Yes?" 03/08/09.

This is one where actually knowing something about the history of socialism and about political theory may be more a hindrance than a help. But here's how I'm framing the rightwingers' "socialist" accusation right now.

As impossible as I've always found it to convince European friends and acquaintances of this, "socialism" in the normal American political vocabulary just means "bad". And not really anything else.

In American politics, you call something "socialist" when you want to discredit it as undesirable and at least vaguely unpatriotic and bad. I think that's the basic linguistic fact that we have to keep in mind in approaching this.

For one thing, there's no other way that you can make any sense at all of rightwingers stringing together socialism-communism-fascism as though they were all just names for the same thing. You have to be basically dumb as a rock to not be able to make some distinction between those things. Unless you're using the very low conceptual-level vocabulary that, say, reporters at our most prestigious newspapers apply.

For examples of such slogans, see Salon.com's Walsh on Cramer's "insane" description of Obama as a "Bolshevik" County Fair blog 03/08/09; Savage: Obama "is a neo-marxist fascist dictator in the making" 03/06/09 County Fair; Obama's Ideological Father by Herbert London Human Events 03/09/09;

Not so long ago, this kind of thing was called "redbaiting". But one of the eccentricities of the American political vocabulary is that we use the color red as a symbol for the Republican Party. Whereas in most of the world red is the color of the Communist and Social Democratic parties. And once you get to the point of even saying something like that, you're already outside the strange OxyContin universe of Rush Limbaugh and Glenn Beck and the like. But you're also outside the usual terms of American political discourse, too.

Now, most people literate enough to be able to read Time or Newsweek are at least vaguely aware that there are Social Democratic parties in Europe that are different from Communists. Assuming that Republicans who complain today about "European-style socialism" are actually making such a distinction would be a dubious assumption.

Americans know that Cuba is Communist, which is of course also taken automatically as bad, very bad. In general, the American political vocabulary dealing with communism and socialism is a product of the Cold War. And Cuba still looks to most people like part of the Other Side from the Cold War days.

A headache-inducing variation is that what was called "Red China" in the 1950s and 1960s achieved the status of honorary capitalist country in the US political vocabulary beginning with their tilt during the Nixon administration toward supporting the US in the conflict with the Soviet Union and even urging the US to intensify it. Chinese foreign policy positions in the 1970s and 1980s were frequently very much in line with those of the most hawkish American hardliners in the US.

Today China is regarded in the American press as a "free-market" country though it still has a Communist government.

And during the 1990s, even the word "capitalism" largely receded from the American political vocabulary, replaced by "market economy". As John Kenneth Galbraith pointed out in his last book published during his lifetime, "market economy" is a particularly serviceable term for defenders of corporate power because it basically means nothing at all.

I've been reading quite a bit the last six months about events in 20th century German history, including the 1918 democratic revolution, the postwar history of Communist East Germany and its relations to West Germany, the student movement of the 1960s, and the German terrorist groups of the 1970s, particularly the Rote Armee Fraktion (RAF), better known as the "Baader-Meinhof gang".

To understand any of those on anything beyond the most superficial level, you have to have some sense of what socialism, social-democracy, communism, and fascism were, both conceptually and historically. Real historians generally don't confuse the German Social Democratic Party (SPD) of the early 1930s with the German Communist Party (DKP) of that time. Nor do they confuse the economic and political goals of the SPD and DKP, even though both stood for "socialism". Those two parties never had trouble distinguishing themselves from each other and they considered themselves mutual enemies.

Nor do historians confuse the SPD and DKP with Hitler's National Socialist German Workers Party (NSDAP), whose name included the word "socialism" only because they hoped to attract working-class voters, and working-class voters generally liked the "socialism" of either the SPD or the DKP. ("Nazi" is a short form of "National Socialist".)

But in line with their general strategy of dumbing-down American politics to schoolyard-type slogans, Republicans are out to blur the distinction between any of those things. The result is apparent in idiotic slogans like "Islamofascism", a conceptually empty concept whose only apparent purpose is to associate violent Sunni Salafi groups like Bin Laden's Al Qa'ida with the Other Side in the Second World War, which most Americans consider to be the Good War.

A similar piece of idiocy appeared from the computer of the National Review's Jonah Goldberg in his 2008 book, Liberal Fascism: The Secret History of the American Left, From Mussolini to the Politics of Meaning. Dave Neiwert analyzed its many failings in a series of posts to which he provides links in 'Liberal Fascism': The response Orcinus blog 01/27/08. By merrily conflating concepts and historical realities like fascism, socialism, liberalism and "left", he basically uses the book to say liberals are fascists.

At the conceptual level, Goldberg's notion of "liberal fascism" is even less meaningful than one of the German RAF's only two real political ideas, the notion that the West German democracy of the 1970s and that of the later reunited Germany were only a thinly-disguised version of Nazism.

Here in the real world, I generally try to avoid using the term "fascism" altogether unless I'm talking about specific historical regimes like Nazi Germany, Mussolini's Italy, Franco's Spain, or Austria under the "Standestaat" (corporate state) dictatorship of 1934-38 which is also known as "Austrofascism". I guess you would have to use the concept of fascism to talk about Juan Perón's first government of 1946-55 in Argentina. But ever there its gets to be an awfully squishy concept, even though Perón was an open admirer of Mussolini and Franco. I discussed some of the difficulties in actually trying to define fascism as an historical phenomenon in a post of 04/15/07.

The American use of the word "liberal" for the pro-labor and popular-reform party and movements also complicates these sorts of theoretical discussions. In the early part of the 20th century, left and right in American politics was mainly a matter of "progressives" and "conservatives". The mainstream left generally began to adopt the self-description of "liberal" after the First World War because the concept of "progressive" had become too vague and too confusing in the party environment (Theodore Roosevelt's Progressive Party ran against both Woodrow Wilson's Democrats and William Howard Taft's Republicans in the 1912 Presidential election.)

Meanwhile, in Europe and most of the rest of the world, "liberal" means pro-business and anti-labor, a leaning toward "laissez-faire" economics, and in some countries more than others a commitment to civil liberties. There really is no direct comparison between the meaning of political "liberalism" in the United States and its meaning in Europe.

Probably unbeknownst to most Americans, there are international associations of socialist (social-democratic) parties and also of liberal parties, called respectively the Socialist International and the Liberal International.

So, blog trolls may be asking, does that mean that I think the Democratic Party and/or the Obama administration can be directly compared to the European social-democratic parties?

Let's put it this way: the official of Spain's conservative party responsible for international issues, the People's Party (PP), which is the current opposition party to the majority social-democratic government, said during the US Presidential campaign last year year that Obama was more conservative than the PP on several major issues. (Jorge Moragas (PP): "Me atrevería a decir que Obama está casi a la derecha del PP" Cadena SER 05.11.08) He explained that Obama, "está a favor de la pena de muerte, en contra de los matrimonios homosexuales, propone un sistema de protección social mucho más liviano que el que puede defender un partido de centro derecha como el PP en España o en Europa. Me atrevería a decir que Obama está casi a la derecha del PP". (supports the death penalty, opposes homosexual marriage, proposes a system of social protection much less substantial than any party of the center-left like the PP or the [conservative Christian Democratic] parties of Europe could defend. I would venture to say that Obama is almost to the right of the PP.)

Let's say this again. Spain's conservative party sees itself as less conservative than Obama on a number of important issues. Obama and the Democrats are barely even "left" enough to be conservatives in Europe. And our Republicans are calling them "socialists" and "Marxists"!

Getting back to the Republican slogan-slingers who don't give a flying [Cheney] for what concepts like socialism or social-democracy may actually mean, the Democrats have to respond to the "socialism" slogan by saying that it's not true, as Obama did to the New York Times. Because while Obama knows what social-democracy, communism and fascism actually are, he also knows that in American politics, "socialism" is mainly just a synonym for "bad".

But I think the Democrats will have to get more aggressive, too. For instance, by responding in ways that make it clear that Republicans tossing around the "socialist" slogans are clueless about what they are actually saying. To borrow a memorable comment of Lyndon Johnson's, most of them wouldn't know what a socialist was if one came up and bit them on the leg.

Obama's response quoted above also reflects that fact that to the extent "socialism" has any conceptual meaning beyond "bad" in normal American political talk, it's vaguely associated with state ownership of stuff. Stuff like banks and businesses.

But taking over (nationalizing) a failed bank to dispose of the bad assets and reform to management so it can be re-privatized as a healthy institution is not a distinctly social-democratic program, though in Europe both social-democratic and conservative governments are facing the same issues and are like to do more nationalizations. If the government were to decide that it was going to take over all major banks and run them on a permanent basis, that could legitimately be called a social-democratic program. But even though "European socialist" parties the Republicans dread so much don't generally propose large-scale state ownership of finance or industry these days.

Would universal health-care coverage along the lines that Obama has discussed be "socialized medicine"? Since the plan he's outlined up until now would continue to rely on private hospitals and private insurance, there's no meaningful real-world sense that could be called "socialized medicine"? If Congress decides that most doctors and other health-care providers would work for the government as in Britain's National Health Service, that could legitimately be called "socialized medicine". Canada's (highly-effective and efficient) state-run health insurance system as I understand it could be called "socialized health insurance". but neither of those things are on the political agenda in the US.

The bottom line is that the current round of sleazy McCarthyist name-calling from the Republicans is just that, a bunch of sleazy Bircherite name-calling. And the Democrats need to deal with it straightforwardly as such. Hopefully by getting into the Republicans' faces and not by finding some of their own allies to criticize as too far left (see the case of MoveOn.org vs. the infallible Gen. Petraeus) in order to try once more unsuccessfully to get the Rush Limbaughs and Mitch McConnell's of the world not to call them names any more. I mean, the Dems are bound to figure out one of these days that the fact that the tactic hasn't worked for decades now is probably a pretty good indication that the tactic doesn't work. They need to shove it back in the Republicans' faces instead.

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Wednesday, February 04, 2009

Amazing


Republican zombies are even scarier than this!

The Republicans really are out to tank the Recovery Bill! Do they really like the disaster they created the last eight years so much they want to make it even worse?

Like most Democrats I assume, I'd love to see Obama chunk this bipartisan kumbaya. But maybe it's just as well that the reality of the Republican Wrecker Party has banged him over the head his first two weeks in office. He seems to learn well from experience.

I'm not panicking on the recovery bill, though. Yes, the Republicans have scrambled the issues via our flat-on-its-face dysfunctional press corps. But what else is new?

But the media mess matters. In both the short run and the long run. The Democrats have to find some ways to shake up the media coverage. And though nobody is talking about a new Fairness Doctrine, even though the loons on the right seems convinced there's a big conspiracy intending to do that, there are some reforms like more stringent limits on who can own news media companies and how they are managed that could increase the ration of journalism to infotainment by at least a bit.

One thing we have to give the Reps credit for, though. They are better at this day-to-day political trench warfare than the Dems are. Imagine how much better off the country might have been had the Democrats been as determined to slow things down on the "USA PATRIOT Act" as the Republicans are to derail the recovery package.

Let the Pod Pundits rattle on about how its always the Dems' responsibility to be bipartisan and how its the main task of the Democratic President to oppose the Democratic Congress and the Democratic base. But Obama and the Congressional Dems need to start making Republican backstabbers and LieberDems pay a real price when they jack the Dems around.

Obama compromised on several of the items that the House Republicans were mindlessly bitching about. And what did they do? They didn't give the recovery plan a single vote. Normally, when you compromise with the other side, they should give you something in return like, say, 15 or 20 Republican votes for the package.

And then theirs the ultimate LieberDem, Holy Joe Lieberman himself. He campaigned for the Republican Presidential candidate. He even endorsed his good buddy McCain during the primaries. He won re-election in 2006 running against the Democratic Senate candidate in Connecticut. And he's welcomed to the new Congress' Democratic caucus as though he had been the most loyal Party stalwart ever. That's just nuts.

Obama is going to have to find ways to go directly to the public to keep a fire under his own Party, too many of whose Congressional office-holders don't seem to much care whether the Party's own priorities and programs get passed. He and the Congressional Party are going to have to make Republicans who deal in bad faith pay some obvious price. And Dems who just want to schmooze with the likes of David Gregory and their Republican buddies should get the [Cheney] out of the way.

And while I'm grousing, Obama's setting up a Presidential Office on Faith? Isn't that what we have churches for? That's another kabuki the Dems need to flush. Conservative fundamentalists aren't going to vote for Democrats because the Dems talk about how much they love Jesus. Ain't gonna happen. Some of those conservative fundamentalists, though, may decide that having a functioning economy and real jobs is an important priority.

I just saw Pat Robertson on TV. Good grief, he looks like a mummy already and sounds like one, too. Keith Richards, the world's most famous zombie, looks to be closer to alive than Brother Pat. He barely seemed to know where he was. Anyone who can take political advice coming from a doddering old reactionary fool like Robertson just ain't gonna vote for the Democrats. They just won't.

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Thursday, November 06, 2008

The Republican Party after Cheney, Bush and Rove

Harper's Scott Horton points to an important development, one he apparently posted before the election results started coming in but which the results largely bore out (The Southern Strategy Comes of Age No Comment blog 11/04/08:

When the votes have been counted tonight, the G.O.P. will reap the final fruits of its Southern Strategy. The Republican Party will have transformed itself from the Party of Lincoln into the Party of the Old Confederacy. We will find that John McCain has achieved his best results in the Old Confederacy - to which only a sprinkling of thinly populated states of the Plains and Mountain West will be added (states that share strong demographic similarities with the "Confederate" states). The core of the congressional G.O.P. will be drawn from the Old South. Moreover, surveying the party’s leadership from the last decade, the predominance of white male Southerners will be clear. The 2008 elections will likely see Republicans falling to their Democratic adversaries in New England (which is now unlikely to return a single Republican to the House of Representatives), the Midwest, the Southwest, and the Pacific states.

Much as the post-Thatcher Conservatives in Britain ceased to be a British party and instead became the party of the England’s prosperous southeast, the Republicans will cease to be a national party. They will instead be a regional party. ... The nation’s political pendulum swings constantly, and the Republican Party will reshape itself and will come to power again. But the Republicans hold on to a final redoubt that offers them little sustenance and little hope for an easy rally and return. This reveals the serious miscalculation of a master tactician. It is the legacy of Karl Rove. [my emphasis]
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Monday, November 03, 2008

Dick Cheney, George W. Bush and the Republican Party

It's a good time to recall just how severe what Dick Cheney and George Bush have done to the Republican Party really is. As historian Sean Wilentz lays out in How Bush Destroyed the Republican Party Rolling Stone 09/04/08:

The Republican Party, having presided over the longest conservative political ascendancy in U.S. history, now finds itself out of touch with the American people, held hostage by radicals who have forsaken basic values like respect for the Constitution and the rule of law. The ideological factions and interest groups that now make up the party — the foreign-policy neoconservatives, the religious right and the pro-business, anti-tax radicals — are increasingly angry and inflexible in their demands. At the beginning of the conservative ascendancy, it took a politician with the skills and magnetism of Ronald Reagan to hold those forces together and build a national majority — and Reagan's America was far less diverse, and far more suspicious of Democrats, than the nation is today. Now the old Navy man John McCain, the last of the Reagan-era Republicans — bearing the wounds of war and politics, his party's ultimate prize his at last — finds himself swimming against strong historical tides. In the end, even if he should somehow manage to evade the flotsam and jetsam of a shipwrecked GOP, he may well find himself pulled out to sea by the inexorable and unprecedented undertow of the Bush presidency. [my emphasis]
There's a video of Wilentz discussing his article, too.

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Wednesday, October 15, 2008

Is the Republican nastiness all that new?

Gene Lyons is being perhaps a bit too optimistic in his analysis in GOP losing ground Arkansas Democrat-Gazette 10/15/08. He reminds us that hate-mongering sleaze and lying isn't exactly new to the Republican Party this year. During the Clinton administration it went on from the Republican charges in the 1992 election that Clinton had been an agent for the Soviet KGB well on through the end of his Presidency. Lyons writes about the lack of success so far of the Obama-is-a-terrorist theme:

The ongoing catastrophe of the Bush administration, however, appears to have helped rationally consequent minds to sober up. Polls show voters taking the November election with unusual seriousness. Everybody knows somebody who went nuts over Vietnam. People want substance this time. ABC News reports that Americans find McCain/Palin more focused on personal attacks than discussing issues by 59 to 35 percent. (Among independents, it’s 68 to 26 percent. ) A FOX poll—FOX, mind you—found Americans saying that the Obama-Ayers connection wouldn’t cause them to vote against the Democrat by 61 to 32 percent. In other words, the ugly tone of Mc-Cain / Palin rallies doesn't demonstrate growing intolerance and hatred. What it shows is that hardly anybody but far-right soreheads is showing up at GOP rallies anymore. [my emphasis]
Put another way, we're seeing the real face of today's national Republican Party - the way it's actually been for the last 20 years or more.

There's nothing comforting about that observation, though. It is just a reminder how deeply rooted this kind of politics has become in the Republican Party, transformed as it has been over the last 40 years since Nixon initiated his "Southern Strategy".

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Monday, May 26, 2008

How useless are the "moderate" Republicans, Chap. 57


George Packer reports in The Fall of Conservatism The New Yorker 05/26/08 (accessed 05/25/08):

The phrase that signalled Bush’s approach [in the 2000 campaign] was "compassionate conservatism," but it never amounted to a policy program. Within hours of the Supreme Court decision that ended the disputed Florida recount, Dick Cheney met with a group of moderate Republican senators, including Lincoln Chafee, of Rhode Island. According to Chafee’s new book, "Against the Tide: How a Compliant Congress Empowered a Reckless President" (Thomas Dunne), the Vice-President-elect gave the new order of battle: "We would seek confrontation on every front. ... The new Administration would divide Americans into red and blue, and divide nations into those who stand with us or against us." Cheney’s combative instincts and belief in an unfettered and secretive executive proved far more influential at the White House than Bush's campaign promise to be "a uniter, not a divider." Cheney behaved as if, notwithstanding the loss of the popular vote, conservative Republican domination could continue by sheer force of will. On domestic policy, the Administration made tax cuts and privatization its highest priority; and its conduct of the war on terror broke with sixty years of relatively bipartisan and multilateralist foreign policy. (my emphasis)
This might have had some constructive practical effect if this had become public, say, around the time it happened. But, so far as I'm aware, this is the first we've heard of that particular statement of Cheney's before he even took office, from "moderate" Republican Lincoln Chafee or any of the rest.

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Thursday, April 24, 2008

Ed Kilgore on the 1972 election analogy

Ed Kilgore also addresses the 1972 analogy to this year's Presidential election in Obama and McGovern 04/23/08. The whole post is good. But I want to call attention to his description of Nixon's electoral strengths in 1972:

The 1972 campaign was waged against an incumbent president whose approval ratings rose steadily throughout the year, and who manipulated both the economy and the Vietnam War ruthlessly and successfully to make himself virtually unbeatable. Obama's running against a Republican struggling to both identify with and separate himself from an incumbent president whose approval ratings will never significantly recover; who's already tried and failed to stimulate the economy; and who has zero chance of credibly declaring before Election Day that "peace is at hand."
It's important to understand the lessons that Republicans learned, or think they learned, from that period. Because it's so decisive to today's Republican "culture war" thinking. And it's also important to the foreign policy conceptions of the neoconservatives. Because to them, it was the "McGovernite" takeover of the Democratic Party that, in their view, drove them to the Republicans.

But we shouldn't fall into the mistake of thinking that their "lessons" necessarily reflect the historical reality. Both "culture warriors" and neocons have an exceptionally, uh, flexible approach to understanding history.

Digby mystery friend she calls Deep Insight observes (Deep Insight Redux Hulabaloo blog 04/23/08):

This is certainly the media's agenda. It is all personality politics and tactics rather than issues for this crowd. The media assumes what the GOP fall attacks will be and then introduces them to the public as “journalism.” No need to change the narrative, just replay the Nixon era debates. It is 1969, and here is the SDS. (my emphasis)
For the Republicans, it seems that "the 60s" will never end.

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Wednesday, April 23, 2008

Conventional wisdom on parade


"You are living in 1969. Drugged-out hippies and scary black people are after you."

This is the kind of thing that self-respecting political junkies have a hard time overlooking. "This" being brought to you by that faithful channeler of press corps conventional wisdom, Carolyn Lochhead of the San Francisco Chronicle, in Party leaders don't seem to care Clinton has taken the big states 04/23/08.

Now, credit where credit is due and all that: Lochhead does point out that winning the Democratic primary in a state is no predictor of whether that candidate will win that state against McCain in "the general", as everyone now seems to be calling the fall general election.

But I was struck by her giving space to a veteran Republican to spout Republican talking points, unchecked of course against any real-world events, in this section:

Jim Pinkerton, who worked in the Reagan and first Bush administrations, said Democrats "are making an eerie replay of 1972," when nominee George McGovern lost in a landslide to Republican Richard Nixon during the Vietnam War.

"They're convincing themselves that the youth vote will carry them, like McGovern was convinced the Baby Boomers and the 18-year-old vote were going to elect him," Pinkerton said. "Well, there were a lot more Lynyrd Skynyrd fans than James Taylor fans out there, and McGovern got clobbered, including by young people."
I'm struck in this election cycle more than ever about how deeply Republican activists seem to be stuck in the "culture war" assumptions of roughly 1968-1973. And it was the 1972 election that was the first round under that particular set of "culture war" assumptions, when the minds of good Christian Republican white folks were haunted by the images of rioting Negroes, fornicating hippies and flag-burning draft-dodgers. Especially those disrespectful Negroes.

The Republicans did use the informal slogan accusing Democratic nominee George McGovern of being the candidate of "acid, amnesty and abortion", "acid" referring to the drug LSD. The basis for this litany? McGovern favored decriminalization of marijuana possession (which has since occurred to a large degree), offering amnesty to draft evaders after a peace treaty was concluded in the Vietnam War (which Jimmy Carter as President did) and leaving abortion as a matter for individual states' decision (now the "pro-life" position, though in 1972 it meant being against imposing any federal ban on abortion). Obviously, their attempts to turn Democrats into weirdo bogeymen in the voters' eyes have gained much in truth-value over the years.

But 2008 is a long way from 1972 in a lot of ways. Nixon had the kind of personality and approach to government that a Dick Cheney could and surely did admire. But he was a pragmatist in many ways and not nearly as driven by ideological or religious dogmas as our Dear Leader Bush or his nationalistic Vice President. In 1972, the country was emerging from the recession of 1971. Nixon had imposed wage and price controls to restrain inflation, which had emerged as a big concern at the time. (McGovern was against the controls; who was more "radical" on that issue?)

Nixon had also drastically reduced the number of American troops in Vietnam, which even war opponents approved so far as it went, and gave many people confidence that Nixon was extracting the country from the Vietnam War. Also, the Vietnam War in 1972 was increasingly unpopular, but not as unpopular as the Iraq War is today. Nixon's slogan of "peace with honor" had considerable resonance.

The scope of the Watergate scandal was not yet apparent, even though the national press corps wasn't in anything like the wrecked state of today's press.

Another huge element in that election was the fact that Nixon had made a high-profile trip to China to begin normalizing relations with China and had made huge progress in "detente" with the Soviet Union, much to the chagrin of the likes of Dick Cheney and those who today are known as "neoconservatives". There were rational reasons, much as any good Democrat hates to say it even today, that voters could think of Nixon as a "peace" candidate. It wasn't all marketing fluff. And he even trotted out Henry Kissinger in October to declare, "Peace is at hand" in the Vietnam War, based on the progress of the peace talks in Paris.

But, more than any association with hippie protesters or scary black people, McGovern was badly hurt by his initial pick of Sen. Tom Eagleton of Missouri as his running mate. When it became public that Eagleton had been treated for severe depression using electroshock therapy, McGovern decided to drop him from the ticket, after rashly declaring when the controversy broke that he was behind Eagleton "one thousand percent". The replacement, Sargent Shriver, was a decent enough VP candidate. But the damage to McGovern's image as a capable decision-maker was done.

The highly competitive Democratic primary campaign in 1972 was also of a different quality than the one going on right now. Hubert Humphrey campaigned as a traditional hawkish liberal against McGovern, who was the preferred choice of the antiwar movement and party reformers. Comparisons to the Clinton-Obama contest would be largely superficial. Not to minimize the internal party stakes of today's contest. But the Humphrey-McGovern split divided the party along ideological and even generational grounds in a way that made it more likely that some traditional Democratic voters that would likely have supported Humphrey in the fall against Nixon would see Nixon as a reasonable alternative.

Nixon's first term was also when the Republicans' "Southern Strategy" went into full swing, deliberately appealing to white segregationists, the "white backlash" vote as it was often called then. This was an important factor at work to pull conservative, traditional Democratic white voters into the Republican column.

Not to run this into the ground, but the degree of market segmentation that is applied today in designing political campaigns is qualitatively different that what was used then. Because candidates today are far more able to target small slivers of the electorate, it's more likely that they will pursue Rovian 51% campaign strategies. While Nixon in 1972 was out to build a mandate for himself. Much of his mandate evaporated with the massive "Christmas bombing" campaign against North Vietnam soon after his re-election. Nixon backed off the "peace is at hand" proposal at the negotiation table and clearly intended to pursue an intensified conventional war in Vietnam. That move was highly unpopular with the public and in Congress, which forced him to quickly back off that approach and sign the Paris Peace Accords in early 1973.

I'm relating all this here because many Republicans, like a young Karl Rove who was working for Nixon's re-election in 1972, processed those events as being an ideological victory over the dang hippies, "hippies" in their minds including also those very scary black people. And they passed that "culture war" sense of politics on to younger Republicans who hadn't even been born in 1972.

So when Jim Pinkerton says he sees this Presidential election as "an eerie replay of 1972", he's just saying that he's a typical "culture war" Republican. They see every Presidential election as a replay of their highly-ideological view of "1972".

Was James ("Fire and Rain") Taylor less popular in 1972 than Lynyrd ("Sweet Home Alabama") Skynyrd? The "Southern rock" band probably sold more records that year. But I'll bet the folk singer had more people who counted themselves as fans.

Pinkerton, holding on to his 1972 "culture war" mentality and applying it to 2008, gives a good picture of the Republican strategy at the present against Obama:

Pinkerton said Republicans will mine such issues as Obama's relationship with Bill Ayers, a former member of the radical Weather Underground group.

"That item alone will be a rich vein of discovery for some eager-beaver Republican opposition researcher," he said. "Oh, and then we'll get on to the Rev. Wright and his life and times, and Indonesia, and his further sociological thoughts on the white working class."
Every time I hear people mention Bill Ayers and the Weather Underground - the Maverick himself went on about Ayers in his This Week interview with George Stephanopoulos on ABC Sunday - it reminds me of a Law and Order episode from several years ago. Sam Waterson's character, prosecutor Jack McCoy, was prosecuting a case that was (obviously if unofficially) based on a Weather Underground case in which a female member who had been evading the law for years was discovered to be living as a prosperous suburban housewife. Jack, normally a hard-nosed prosecutor, was unusually ambivalent about prosecuting her for a decades-old bank robbery in which a security guard was killed. He was aware of the complex tangle of motivations at work in the political moment in which it occurred.

When the woman is convicted, they close by talking about her being eligible for parole in 2010 or whenever. Jack says (quoting from memory), "Maybe by then the '60s will be over."

Can the spirit of Richard Nixon help us defeat the mind-controlling space aliens?

Sensible thought, but wrong. For our conservative "culture warriors", they're still reliving "the 60s" as it exists in their minds. Obviously, as we saw in the Social Security fight in 2005, the Republicans would still like to roll back most of the New Deal. But it seems to me that their world view has been more enduringly shaped by their fevered reaction to "the 60s" than by even the New Deal. For some of them, apparently, "the 60s" will never be over.

The problem with these "culture war" attacks on the Democrats is that, given the eager cooperation and even initiation of such attacks by our badly broken "press corps", they create all sorts of uncertainties and suspicions and fears about the Democratic candidate which the Republicans can then exploit with their media-endorsed images of the Republican candidate as the tough, patriotic man of principle. It's not so much that independent voters actually buy the attacks as such. Can anyone really believe Barack Obama is part an a super-secret Muslim Weather Underground terrorist group? But unless they are adequately countered, they have an effect nevertheless, as the Swift Boat Liars for Bush group in 2004 did.

Finally, that "can anyone really believe..." question is probably giving some people too much credit. I was at a party in San Francisco just this week where I was talking some respectable businessman who said in all apparent seriousness that university faculties at Ivy League schools are dominated by Communists. This guy may be quite successful in his business (or maybe not, I don't really know). But he's just plain out of touch with reality in some large portion of his thinking as a citizen about political matters.

Next time that happens to me, I think I'll counter by insisting that, no, those faculties are really dominated by gray space aliens with big eyes who control them through brain implants.

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